Recent content by jopke

  1. J

    When intuition and math probably look wrong

    Why does order matter when it is boy/girl and not matter when it is boy boy? It seems to me there are FOUR possibilities: 1) The first child is a boy, second child is a girl. 2) The first child is a girl, the second child is a boy. 3) The first child is the known boy, second child is a boy...
  2. J

    Calculating the EV for Steering a Ten to the Dealer's Hand

    I want to clarify the OP. Unless I'm misreading (and I'm about to fall asleep, so it is very possible), the EV figures given are for those cases where the dealer has a hittable hand. So the situation isn't +38% EV off the top, it is +38% IF the dealer has to take a card. Naturally, there is some...
  3. J

    Calculating the EV for Steering a Ten to the Dealer's Hand

    You would only not hit 7-2 if 19 v dealers up card has less EV than knowing the hit card is a 10 with the given dealer up card. I have a feeling, more often than not, you'd hit (or still double). Of course, if you are steering the card, you are likely playing multiple hands, in which case...
  4. J

    Vegas Cosmo nice hand DD

    I had the opposite experience when I was there for CES. The pit seemed to have a hard time keeping track of their regular duties, they didn't seem to notice my bets at all. (1-15 spread, played for a couple of hours) They were friendly, as was I. When I first got there I asked if surrender was...
  5. J

    The Famous Card Counting Experiment

    I thought a guy named John Winn invented the modern craps game. Do you have a source? I'd like to know more.
  6. J

    Which is a better game?

    You don't mention # of decks, but if they are the same, I'd go with game 2. If game 1 is 2D and game 2 is 6D, I'd go with game 1.
  7. J

    Spreading to multiple hands - Short answer questions

    What are the rules for the game, how many decks, etc. Also, what count system are you using? Those will impact the optimal ramp and ROR calcs
  8. J

    I hate ploppies!!

    I find it hilarious when people criticize my play. Why let it upset you?
  9. J

    My "Professional Gambling" career begins today!

    Limit poker is huge on variance. Many mid-stakes pros recommend 500 big bets for 20-40 & 40-80, 8-16 is probably weak enough to beat with less, but if you are playing for a living, I wouldn't recommend it. As far as 3-6 and 4-8, you might be able to beat the drop under the right conditions...
  10. J

    Casino employee pay scale

    Bobby's room dealers aren't any different than the rest of the poker room and most of them hate having to deal back there. They make measurably less than when dealing a mid stake game and they have to put up with a lot more abuse.
  11. J

    My "Professional Gambling" career begins today!

    IMO 4-8 and 3-6 limit games are not beatable because the rake is so huge. You would be better off playing a low buy in No Limit game. Personally, I can't stand no limit, I find it excruciatingly boring, but until you have $8k and can play 8-16, I think it is the only reasonable option...
  12. J

    Attacking 6:5 for fun (and profit?)

    Yes, I did this for quite a while a few months ago, switching between 6 deck and single deck. It was very nice, unfortunately my buddy lost a lot and wanted to leave. I just flat bet 3x$100 and won a lot. My OP wasn't regarding that, I was just interested in 6:5 opinions.
  13. J

    Heat at DD

    i've played poker for so many hours it is really, really hard for me to not shuffle chips. I catch myself doing all kinds of chip tricks when I'm bored. I've gotta break that habit...
  14. J

    blackjack switch & card counting?

    Any updates on this? Has anyone developed a decent strategy for BJ switch?
  15. J

    Attacking 6:5 for fun (and profit?)

    I was thinking it would be kind of fun to try attacking a 6:5 game. I'd be playing a small unit and doing it more for the challenge than anything. Any advice? I use TKO, which I know isn't ideal for single deck, but oh well... Can a very aggressive spread beat it? Spreading from 1 to 2x40...
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