This happened many many months ago at a store I don't visit very often. I've been back several times since this happened without any heat so I figure it's safe to share. Here's what happened.
I walk into the casino and I see a fresh shuffle starting. There is someone sitting at third base...
I ran your information thru CVCX. With the above advice in mind here are the numbers you requested based on Wong Halves with Sweet16 and Fab4.
$1000 bankroll
Table min $10
10-1 spread
90 hands/hr estimate
75%PEN
Overall, with a play-all strategy your RoR 79.1%. With backcounting at +1 your...
I assumed heads up play, 69%PEN(16 cards cut out) and 75 rounds/hour. Might be a little optimistic on the rounds/hr.
For 4 hours of play and a session BR of $1000 with an "Infinite Goal" I come up with a RoR of 34.767%
You would need a BR of $2200 to get RoR down to 5.013%.
Someone...
Learn the Illustrious 18 & Fab 4.
http://wizardofodds.com/blackjack/count/highlow1.html
Read the page and learn them from the top down. They are listed from most important on top to least on bottom.
The part I highlighted above is a very important point if you are shuffle tracking but not so important if you're just counting and trying to estimate decks played.
Do what I did. Go to Walmart and buy 21 decks of cards. Go home and stack them on your coffee table or someplace where you can stare at them all the time. Stack them in piles of 1 deck, 2 decks, 3 decks, 4 decks, 5 decks. Then take a pile of 6 decks and practice cutting out 1 deck, 1.5...
Someone correct me if I'm wrong but I believe the only way TKO could remove "some" of the risk is to use indicies for extreme negative counts. Your best option is going to be to avoid extreme negative counts because the HE increases too much.
I think a better strategy would be to simply...
1) You appear to be confusing the True Count and the Running Count with respect to the Key Count. The Key Count is the point where you have the advantage with respect to the running count. The key count is what you need to reach with the RC NOT the TC. If you have an IRC of -20 then when the...
Can someone please post a link to a current casino scouting report for Las Vegas? I'll be there in a little over a week. If I have to pay for the list that is fine also. Send me a PM if you don't want to post the link. Thanks.
1) His original post states his bankroll is a couple thousand. I used $2000. :
2) True. I cringe when I think what his current ROR is. This was just meant to give a general idea of what to expect.
3) I'm too lazy and don't really have the time right now. Maybe later. :) What bankroll...
8D with 1 player I come up with a 44.6% ROR, $8.96/hour and SCORE of 18.09 using Hi-Lo with Sweet 16 & Fab 4 plugged into CVCX @ 88% PEN. I also had to assume a $5 table min since I didn't see your unit size anywhere. Your ROR jumps to 66.7% at the $10 table min.
At the $5 table min if you...
See link below. I would buy this book if I were you. It's a great read and very helpful but the cover of the book or DVD will give you the tip of the iceberg as to when to raise your bet on a 6D shoe.
http://www.thecolorofblackjack.com/cardcounting.html (Archive copy)