Recent content by adventureboy

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    A Cautionary Tale

    Thanks, Tarzan. Yes, there is nothing new under the sun. I knew such a thing could happen. I just discounted the fact that it could happen to me. As I look back over my years of blackjack and counting... I just have to question whether, for me, it is worth it. My total out of pockect cash...
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    A Cautionary Tale

    I appreciate everyone's thoughts. Sonny, I did some mean regression during the first 2 hours when it was called for @ TC +4 or better. It became very evident, very early, that I could mean regress, count cards, play basic strategy---- it did not matter. Hell, I even caught some hole cards...
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    A Cautionary Tale

    As many of you know, I have been playing A LOT of blackjack over the last 4 years, hoping that when I retire I could use blackjack to supplement my income for the "extras" that would make retirment a lot of fun. At this point, I think I must conclude that it is just not going to work for me...
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    Hollywood Bay St. Louis---No Game!

    Tried to play here one day--- I will admit that it was before lunch time. They only had 2 games open, a 6 deck shoe (which had all 7 spots taken) and a 6:5 single deck with 1 player playing. Both were $5 min tables. I asked a bit boss if we could open another table. He said no, he did not...
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    The Gambler's Fallacy

    Then let's just agree to leave it there. As I said earlier, I know that the vast majority of posters here will have no use for this line of reasoning. My degree is in mathematics eduacation, but it seems that explaining this to a point of satisfaction is going to be beyond my capablities. If...
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    The Gambler's Fallacy

    Yes, you are correct in that the pressures exerted on each are different. However, what is interesting is that they move in very similar ways. I don't care why something happens or about the forces that bring it about. I just care if I can predict it and make money on it. In that sense, I am...
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    The Gambler's Fallacy

    Yes, I read it. I thought I tried to answer your questions in the post above. If I did not, then I apologize. As to your point that EW, mean regression, retracemnt analysis, and streak theory have nothing to do with blackjack, I obviously disagree. These can be applied to any system...
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    The Gambler's Fallacy

    Please chart your wins and losses on an x/y axis. The graph produced will look remarkably similar to any stock or forex chart. There are ups, downs, and retracements. If you take the names off the charts, you cannot tell which is which. Elliot Waves are present on all the charts, as are...
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    IP/Treasure Bay

    I asked a pit boss about it. He said they use it for rating players and giving comps. A dealer told me that also. They are very particular about having your bet not touch the edge of the circle...they say the table cannot read it. Who knows if that is the whole story or not. Regards,
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    The Gambler's Fallacy

    I hesitate to keep this going... I don't want to offend anyone. I will try to wrap up my thoughts with this: I have spent A LOT of time studying this. It is not only mean regression, but also streak theory, retracement theory, and elliot wave anlysis. A lot of this has applications in the...
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    The Gambler's Fallacy

    Thought I would give a little update to this thread. Yes, I count cards. Yes, I incorporate mean regression into my play. If you run 10,000 sims of 100 rounds each (1 million hands) you will see that the occurance of dealer wins greater than 62 (10 hands over 'expectation') is pretty...
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    wanna become professional player but

    It is a rare person who can listen to the advice of others, assimilate it, and put it to effective use. Even harder for a young person of 22. Most people have to make their own mistakes, no matter how obvious. With that in mind, I wil tell you this: If you chose to travel this road, it will...
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    IP/Treasure Bay

    Finished up a 2 day session on the coast. It is sad to report, but double deck at the IP has become unplayable. This makes me sad. A couple of years ago it was my favorite double deck spot on the coast. Not only is it H17, but the cut card is now at LESS than 50%.... more like 40% with...
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    Belle of Baton Rouge

    I guess I see your point. To my mind, a H17 6 deck game is not the golden goose, but to each his own. I have a hard time believing that Belle personal are monitoring this website... But if there is even the slightest chance I screwed something up for someone else, then for that I sincerly...
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    Belle of Baton Rouge

    Well, obviously, I am not too worried. I only play there about once every other month. I have found the penetration to be terrible in the past... but was pleasently surprised this time. Like I said, it was different with different dealers. I seriously doubt it will be a problem... but if so...
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