:::Chuckles::: Well, it looks like I have some things to reply to.
Sonny said:
Yes, but just because you don’t bust doesn’t mean that you’ll win. The dealer is equally likely to not bust so you will need to have a very good hand to beat them. Not busting is only half the battle.
I agree completely. You remind me of myself many years ago (except a bit less arrogant:laugh
![Smile :) :)](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
. I was extremely excited about BJ and couldn’t wait to learn everything there is to know. Seven years later I have only scratched the surface, but I do have a good understanding of the mathematical rules that govern the game. I wish you luck in your search for truth, and I look forward to seeing you again when it leads you back here.
-Sonny-
Interesting reply Sonny. Yet, I have been playing BJ for approximately 16 year. And I'm not arrogant, though if that is how you choose to see me, that is okay.
As for Julian..... I knew about him before I knew about blackjack. And, yes...at the time, he was a whiz (Suely the reason IBM hired him to begin with), yet I have found quite a few mistakes in his work...... as have many others.....BTW...I am speaking strictly mathematical theory here...not BJ.
shadroch said:
If I am wrong, I will be the first to admit it....it wouldn't be the first time, and surely not the last. But "looking" for "better" cannot hurt.
Ready to admit your 'advice' about playing happy tables and reading non-existant tells is simply wrong?[/QUOTE]
Am I ready to admit that I am wrong? Look Shadroch...if you wish to ignore what I have said, that is fine..... Does a "Happy-Table" affect your play...maybe not...but, in my experiences, I win more at that type of table. There
are tells....whether you wish to believe it or not is irrelevent. I am not trying to convince you that I am right....rather, I don't have a vested interest either way. So, you can ignore everything I say...and write it off as "ploppy-talk", or whatever other colorful metaphor you wish to apply.
halcyon1234 said:
For the same reason that people quote Physics books rather than coming up with the equations themselves.
Not that the search for knowledge is bad (nor should it be discouraged), but just be careful that you aren't just re-inventing the wheel. The great thing about Blackjack is that it's a known quantity. We know exactly what makes up a Blackjack deck, and exactly what rules it must follow. It's very easy to plug it into a computer, and simulate anything over billions of hands relatively quickly.
If you are serious about a theory, your best steps are to:
1) Make sure it hasn't already been proven/disproven. (The books you have on order, plus the Internet, is the best way to go)
2) Get a copy of something like BlackjackSim, learn it inside out, then test your theories. Remember scientific method. Come up with a theory. Search for data that proves or disproves it. Revise your theory. Lather, rinse, repeat.
![Wink ;) ;)](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
3) If you come up with something that works, make a few million from it, then another few thousand from the book rights (in that order! :laugh: )
OMG!!! You are comparing physics to BJ theory. Comparing a factual science to a theoretical science is not conducive to a good argument.
For instance... At any given time during a BJ session, you
cannot definitely know what the next card is going to be.
Is physics, it is just the opposite. We know
exactly what will happen in a given situation.
I could go much deeper into this difference, but since this isn't a physics-forum, I doubt that anyone is interested anyway.
As for your "suggestion" to me to use
simjack...... the only thing I have to say to that is that you obviously haven't studied the game as much as you want me to believe, or you would never have recommended such an elementary program.
Bojack1 said:
The bottomline here Captain is, you have to walk before you run. You have yet to do a true count conversion at a live table yet, and you insist at trying to invent groundbreaking methods. My advice if you want it is, slow down, stop trying too hard to impress your detractors, and learn and perfect an established counting system. Once you do that you might see more clearly what some of the others are talking about. I will also offer you this, most of the successful pros out there are not performing calculus type equations at the table. Winning at this game may not be real simple, but the basic guidelines on giving yourself the advantage are. Again I ask you this question, If your current system of play has been so successful that its your only source of income, why the big rush to change it because of a few disagreeing posts on a message board? Once you can truly answer that, than I think you can move on to trying to be a real AP.
Once again...my statements/posts have been slandered!!!! I
never said I was going to "change" what I currently do, and never indicated I was in a "rush" to do anything either. What I
did say was this: "I will look into counting systems more, and see if there is anything I can
add , that will give me a larger advantage. Make sure you know what you're quoting before you go sticking words into people's mouths!
As for you believing me, or believing that BJ is my only source of income..... I don't really care what you think or believe. A fact is a fact. And if so many of you were so interested in verifying what I say is wrong (as opposed to assumptions, slanders, and out-right lies), then why have none of you so-called "AP's" approached me at any of the Casinos I named that I would be at....I was there! Want more info??? Still want to prove me wrong...anyone??? I'll be at the Belterra on Wednesday night... I'll where the same blue sweatshirt,blue-jeans, and the Ohio State cap.
On February 8th, I'll be at Circus Circus in LV; the 9th I'll be at the Mirage.
February 26-28 I'll be in AC, I'll move between the Taj-Mahal, and Tropicanna.
Again...I always wear the Ohio State cap, and 99% of the time Blue-jeans.
So...someone PLEASE walk-up to me, and verify to the rest of these millionaires that what I say is true. (Use my nickname: Capt.)
-out-
Sonny said:
Ah yes, Snyder’s Folly. Here’s a link to that article:
"Well," I explained, "I know you've got eleven tens, three aces, four deuces, one 3, four 4s, two 5s, two 6s, two 7s, one 8, and three 9s remaining…But I can't make my insurance decision till I tally up all these damn numbers and figure out the ten ratio."
http://www.blackjackforumonline.com/content/sdcnt.htm
-Sonny-
Yes, I saw that Sonny..... and as I said...I never said it would be easy.
And take into consideration Snyder's relative weaknesses:
As he said: "
...I have trouble doing more than a couple things at a time..."