Dealer showing hole card - Best strategy?
- Thread starter steve_m426
- Start date
First of all, you should already know BS.
Here's a simplified strategy for holecard play -
Don't hit hard 17 or higher unless you've got a good drunk act going... which you should try to achieve BECAUSE some of the plays look really strange if you don't appear drunk.
If the dealer holds 17+ do not double.
If the dealer holds 5,6,13,14 split 2s-As EXCEPT 10s and double A2-8
If the dealer holds 15,16 split (and re-split) 10s and double A9
If the dealer holds 10-11 stand at 15
If the dealer holds 7-9 stand at 17
I'm not sure what hands I forgetting to cover here. With 100% holcard read you should have about 6% edge with the simplified strategy... which means you can bet about 1/50th of your BR on each hand.
Now, send me a private message via this board and tell me where the game/flasher is at! zg
The errors in Uston and Braun were primarily error in estimate of the holecard player advantage - Uston's and Braun's estimates were low because they forgot to factor in the gain from perfect insurance bets. zg
Here's a simplified strategy for holecard play -
Don't hit hard 17 or higher unless you've got a good drunk act going... which you should try to achieve BECAUSE some of the plays look really strange if you don't appear drunk.
If the dealer holds 17+ do not double.
If the dealer holds 5,6,13,14 split 2s-As EXCEPT 10s and double A2-8
If the dealer holds 15,16 split (and re-split) 10s and double A9
If the dealer holds 10-11 stand at 15
If the dealer holds 7-9 stand at 17
I'm not sure what hands I forgetting to cover here. With 100% holcard read you should have about 6% edge with the simplified strategy... which means you can bet about 1/50th of your BR on each hand.
Now, send me a private message via this board and tell me where the game/flasher is at! zg
The errors in Uston and Braun were primarily error in estimate of the holecard player advantage - Uston's and Braun's estimates were low because they forgot to factor in the gain from perfect insurance bets. zg
Since I have never been in this situation, I would think that it would be almost impossible to take complete advantage. Obviously, if you have a 14 and you see that the dealers 10 on top has a 5 in the hole you would stay. If the card is an 8 you would hit. If you start hitting 19 because you see the dealer has 20, it won't be long before there will be a lot of management surrounding the table. As soon as they recognize, the dealers mistake, they will correct it. I think it would be very helpful in deciding to double or split. I don't think I would split or double my hands if I knew, I was playing against a 10/10. Be careful on when you use this knowledge. You can probably get a lot out of it but the more people you tell, the sooner word will get out and this dealer will be 'fixed' or gone.