JohnCrover
Banned
Down about $4,000 after expenses. Down about $3,000 on the game.
first 200 hours counting cards
- Thread starter JohnCrover
- Start date
are you playing a s17 and late surrender 8 deck or 6 deck? is your min bet 10$ and top bet 100$? so your down 30ish max bets? man thats a drop in the bucket compared to Kewljason who blows through 3 grand hourly but yea i couldn't stand to lose 7 grand as you did and claw back my way to just down 3k its more remarkable the house didn't block your action if they are counting along with you on norm site Sands pa claims to be a sweaty shop as is Parx and i heard Smallcap got banned in sugarhouse in philly
its no big suprise man id quit while your ahead as many as did on this site before us...
its no big suprise man id quit while your ahead as many as did on this site before us...
JohnCrover
Banned
It's disappointing because this whole time I have been told that if I do my due diligence and work hard I will be awarded for my efforts but that hasn't been the case.
DoubleOnHard20
Well-Known Member
If you always bet full Kelly, there's a 1/3 chance that you lose half of your bankroll before your bankroll doubles. Betting more or less than full Kelly is inefficient in the long-run. Full Kelly has a 0% risk of ruin. Only the table limits and playing through bad counts increase your risk of ruin. Always bet full Kelly to maximize the rate your bankroll grows in the long-run while having no risk of ruin.
I don't know how much playing through bad counts or table limits increase your risk of ruin when betting full Kelly, but you can use risk averse indices with full Kelly betting to help minimize risk of ruin. It's also more efficient when combined with Kelly betting.
I don't know how much playing through bad counts or table limits increase your risk of ruin when betting full Kelly, but you can use risk averse indices with full Kelly betting to help minimize risk of ruin. It's also more efficient when combined with Kelly betting.
DoubleOnHard20
Well-Known Member
I can lose my entire 401k in 30 seconds. What is your point?KewlJ said:3 grand hourly? that is about 6 max bets. Yeah I have those swings in an hour. I have those swings in 10 minutes. What is your point? Some of you trolls are the dumbest MFers on the face of the earth. No wonder you can't win.
JohnCrover
Banned
Maybe being down something like 2 standard deviations has something to do with it.KewlJ said:No wonder you can't win.
Hell'nBack
Well-Known Member
Awarded doesn't work in your sentence. But rewarded does.JohnCrover said:
JohnCrover
Banned
Hey, I don't know if you're talking to me but things are going much better. On a nice winning streak and up about 10k on the current bank that started around last month. I'm about 2 or 3k above EV.
Got a little bit of heat once but no backoffs. I have gotten more street smart when it comes to avoiding dicey situations.
Got a little bit of heat once but no backoffs. I have gotten more street smart when it comes to avoiding dicey situations.
Midwest Player
Well-Known Member
John, a while back you mentioned to me in a private message that you got backed off in the place that has the best blackjack in the country. Now you are saying you had no back offs. Which is it?JohnCrover said:
JohnCrover
Banned
I forgot about that. Feels like so long ago. Not even on this bankroll. Yeah, I got 86d a while back.
AlphaCentauri
Member
John, from what I read previously you had huge negative variance but now you’re up 10k? What are you betting? and types of games? I may be missing something but it seems pretty extreme for such a small BR.
Counting_Is_Fun
Well-Known Member
JohnCrover is a troll or else he must be mentally ill. He has been posting on all BJ forums for years about how he keeps being a losing player.
JohnCrover
Banned
If you guys knew how ridiculous your statements are you would be embarrassed.
Fenix
Active Member
@Badbeat , JohnCrover had some horrible variance his first 300 or so hours of counting cards. Many of us have bad streaks like that from time to time, he was just unlucky to get a bad streak at the beginning of his career. A few of my friends and myself have tested JohnCrover and his game is solid. We said to just get the hours and things will turn around, and they have. It's been mostly a long slow grind upwards, but his last 100 hours have ran quite well. He's perhaps around EV lifetime and above EV on his current bankroll.
@AlphaCentauri, larger swings happen when your RoR is high. Larger swings also happen when you have a larger bankroll. Now that he's won a fair bit, his RoR is much smaller. He's doing great and becoming quite the counter. He has had a few back offs, but none on this bankroll.
You're doing great JohnCrover. Keep up the solid work.
@AlphaCentauri, larger swings happen when your RoR is high. Larger swings also happen when you have a larger bankroll. Now that he's won a fair bit, his RoR is much smaller. He's doing great and becoming quite the counter
. He has had a few back offs, but none on this bankroll.You're doing great JohnCrover. Keep up the solid work
.
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AlphaCentauri
Member
xengrifter
Banned
60-1 spread at 2D?Badbeat said:
Were you of the opinion that a 60 to 1 spread at DD would be more profitable than say a 25 to 1 spread on the same game?
Just curious, was your max bet the same or different when you increased to 60 to 1?
Hell'nBack
Well-Known Member
Horseshit! No one spreads 60-1 on DD.
Counting_Is_Fun
Well-Known Member
You are a liar. Which state do you claim you are betting DD at spread 60-1? So $10-$600? $25-$1500?Badbeat said: