In 2017 I won $13,500 using BS and a variation of the MIT betting system. I did this using Mohegan Sun, Foxwoods and mostly Twin River. 6/8 decks, late surrender dealer stands on soft 17 and no side bets. I got as high as $19,000 a head but had a rough December. I ended up winning 60% of the time. Seat does not seem to matter but I like to choose a table where players have chips in front of them. It is a given that I will be the best player at the table. Gamblers generally use basic strategy only some of the time. I am down about $4,000 this year. I do not believe in luck but there is something to momentum. When loosing I go less frequently. I do keep strict records as I understand human nature tends to remember the wins and minimize the losses. In the last 17 visits, I won 5 times! Help if you can. [email protected]
need advise
- Thread starter Paul Hennessey
- Start date
Can you explain what that means?
This is nothing more than voodoo thinking. None of what you said in the 2nd quote makes any sense.
How many hours is this? 17 “visits” is not even close to being anywhere near the “long run.”
Just from what I’ve read in your first post, it seems like you still have much to learn and have to let go of many different gamblers’ fallacies. I don’t know what kind of spreads you’re using and I honesty don’t know if you’re counting or even playing with an edge. Maybe you could help clarify?
This is nothing more than voodoo thinking. None of what you said in the 2nd quote makes any sense.
How many hours is this? 17 “visits” is not even close to being anywhere near the “long run.”
Just from what I’ve read in your first post, it seems like you still have much to learn and have to let go of many different gamblers’ fallacies. I don’t know what kind of spreads you’re using and I honesty don’t know if you’re counting or even playing with an edge. Maybe you could help clarify?
just me maybe, it's perhaps best to safe guard ones identity with respect to a wide array of aspects, not just gamming. here's hoping someone's identity isn't indeed unprotected (as it appears), out here in the wild and wooly internet.
at any rate, I suspect the person in question at some point shall become a concern with gamming should he keep listening to you, sir.
at any rate, I suspect the person in question at some point shall become a concern with gamming should he keep listening to you, sir.
Paul, in one of those three casinos the only way you can play the game with the rules you described is by playing an NMSE "no mid-shoe entry" table. If that is the case when you are playing an NMSE game I suspect you are over betting your roll and not spreading enough hurting your game. Do not overemphasize on the better rules if you are not properly bankrolled to play against them.
When you even consider in your head that seat position matters, or how many chips are in front of other players, and that there is something to momentum you are not thinking like an AP. Not to mention it is far from a given that you are the best player at the table.
When you even consider in your head that seat position matters, or how many chips are in front of other players, and that there is something to momentum you are not thinking like an AP. Not to mention it is far from a given that you are the best player at the table.
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I was thinking the same thing. You can't win using that betting system, total rookie system.
Try using 1-2 5-3-3-6-1-1-1-10-8. That's what most professionals use nowadays, even though you can try letting your bet ride a few times if you're willing to play with more risk.
Edit: I should also add that if you get a 4 leaf clover and a rabbits foot, as well as a horseshoe you're playing with virtually 0% risk of ruin, regardless of the game you're playing.
Try using 1-2 5-3-3-6-1-1-1-10-8. That's what most professionals use nowadays, even though you can try letting your bet ride a few times if you're willing to play with more risk.
Edit: I should also add that if you get a 4 leaf clover and a rabbits foot, as well as a horseshoe you're playing with virtually 0% risk of ruin, regardless of the game you're playing.
OK, so let me say it more politely. No betting "system" can change a negative advantage into a positive one. You are playing at a disadvantage using basic strategy alone. If you don't count and vary your bet with the count, you can't win in the long run. The surprise isn't that you're losing now; the surprise is that you got lucky and ever won in the first place.
And that's the best advice (note spelling) you're going to get, from one 71-year-0ld to another.
Don
And that's the best advice (note spelling) you're going to get, from one 71-year-0ld to another.
Don
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DSchles said:
OK, so let me say it more politely. No betting "system" can change a negative advantage into a positive one. You are playing at a disadvantage using basic strategy alone. If you don't count and vary your bet with the count, you can't win in the long run. The surprise isn't that you're losing now; the surprise is that you got lucky and ever won in the first place.
And that's the best advice (note spelling) you're getting to get, from one 71-year-0ld to another.
Don
And that's the best advice (note spelling) you're getting to get, from one 71-year-0ld to another.
Don
Paul - In case you're unaware, Don wrote THE most comprehensive book that exists about blackjack. So you got spot on advice from the master!
Link to his book:
https://www.amazon.com/Blackjack-At...1521409297&sr=8-2&keywords=blackjack+attack+3
Link to his book:
https://www.amazon.com/Blackjack-At...1521409297&sr=8-2&keywords=blackjack+attack+3
Better link (cheaper, direct from the new publisher): https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/shop/products/blackjack-attack-playing-the-pros-way/
Don
Don
I give credit to people who are willing to learn. The first Blackjack book I ever bought was published by a turtleneck/blazer wearing charlatan, who need not be mentioned. Later I found out what that book was worth and have since acquired, read and continue to study from the masters, including, as already noted, Dr. S. (Don - if you don't have a PhD, you deserve one! I can't grant one, but consider it a sincere honorific).
This game is well studied - some would say solved. But not everyone knows that and these forums provide a place where people can be pointed in the right direction.
Good Luck, Mr. H., and as the man says, you may want to set up a nom de plume for your account and slip into some anonymity. After all, you've now been pegged as a progression bettor and may have bought some cover, paid for by your lucky run of variance...
This game is well studied - some would say solved. But not everyone knows that and these forums provide a place where people can be pointed in the right direction.
Good Luck, Mr. H., and as the man says, you may want to set up a nom de plume for your account and slip into some anonymity. After all, you've now been pegged as a progression bettor and may have bought some cover, paid for by your lucky run of variance...