No winners ever?

Sonny said:
So are you predicting things or not? You seem to be confused on that point. Do you actually think that you can predict streaks? And is this the same simulation program that miscalculated the proper basic strategy?

-Sonny-
Click to expand...

One of the many statistics accumlated by the simulator was the frequency and length of win and loss streaks.
So, it can be predicted that in one million hands X strings of Y length will occur.
No one can predict when they will occur. And by the way the simulator did not miscalculate basic strategy.
 
fredperson said:
One of the many statistics accumlated by the simulator was the frequency and length of win and loss streaks.
So, it can be predicted that in one million hands X strings of Y length will occur.
No one can predict when they will occur. And by the way the simulator did not miscalculate basic strategy.
Click to expand...

can you post some of those statistics in summary form?
 
fredperson said:
So, it can be predicted that in one million hands X strings of Y length will occur.
Click to expand...

But there is variance there so it cannot be predicted. In a million hands you will probably not see exactly X strings of length Y. Most of the time you will see either more or less, and occasionally you will see many more or less. It cannot be predicted (which you seem to admit, but later retract). To make matters worse, the actual number of wins and losses is likely to get farther apart even though the percentages are approaching the expected rates. And even if you could predict those strings perfectly in a millions hands, what good would that do an average player?

I'll say it again: This forum would be so much easier if people understood the Gambler's Fallacy. :rolleyes:

-Sonny-
 
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