I have been making calculations to determine my EV per hour.
In summary the input variables into my hourly EV are:
Deck penetration
Casino advantage (taking into account casino rules, BS, index plays)
# of boxes played at table
# of shoes dealt per hour
Bet variation/spread depending on TC
Frequency of TC occurrence
In my model I have noticed that the # of boxes played at the table has a SIGNIFICANT impact on my hourly EV (and hourly SD) as it affects the number of hands that I play per hour.
To compare the extremes:
If I am playing on my own and 4 shoes of 6D (75% pen) are dealt then i would expect to play around 172 hands.
(I have calculated this by looking at the number of cards in 6D (312), the number of cards per avg black jack hand (2.7), then pen level (as this affects the number of cards dealt).)
If 5 other boxes are played by other players at my table and 4 shoes of 6D (75% pen) are dealt then i would expect to only play around 48 hands.
In my particular model this decreases the EV/hour from 2.13 units to 0.60 units.
Would this also mean that 1-hour playing heads is equivalent to 4 hours of playing at a busy table?
Am I on the right track with my thinking here?
Look forward to any comments that people may have :grin:
In summary the input variables into my hourly EV are:
Deck penetration
Casino advantage (taking into account casino rules, BS, index plays)
# of boxes played at table
# of shoes dealt per hour
Bet variation/spread depending on TC
Frequency of TC occurrence
In my model I have noticed that the # of boxes played at the table has a SIGNIFICANT impact on my hourly EV (and hourly SD) as it affects the number of hands that I play per hour.
To compare the extremes:
If I am playing on my own and 4 shoes of 6D (75% pen) are dealt then i would expect to play around 172 hands.
(I have calculated this by looking at the number of cards in 6D (312), the number of cards per avg black jack hand (2.7), then pen level (as this affects the number of cards dealt).)
If 5 other boxes are played by other players at my table and 4 shoes of 6D (75% pen) are dealt then i would expect to only play around 48 hands.
In my particular model this decreases the EV/hour from 2.13 units to 0.60 units.
Would this also mean that 1-hour playing heads is equivalent to 4 hours of playing at a busy table?
Am I on the right track with my thinking here?
Look forward to any comments that people may have :grin: