why not counting in csm ?

beyondbj

Well-Known Member
#1
some csm game with low house edge (0.1-0.2%)

if we just counting the last round cards on table , which suppose wont coming out in the next game

then we can get some advantage , of coz the return will be low but u can still winnning for long term , right?
 

Sucker

Well-Known Member
#2
If the house edge is low enough and if your spread is high enough, then yes; you would probably have some sort of a mathematical advantage over this game. Just don't quit your day job......
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#4
My feeling is that even if a small advantage could be eked out, and it would be a very small advantage if any, we should boycott CSMs. In addition, APs should spread the word among ploppies that CSMs are designed take away any possible advantage, since the cards are essentially reshuffled every few minutes. Even proponents of the "sacred flow" or the "winning shoe" theories are trampled underfoot by these diabolical machines. Get the word out! Make it unprofitable for casinos to operate CSMs, and they will stop. There is no doubt about this.
 

paddywhack

Well-Known Member
#5
Ah, yes, but...

aslan said:
APs should spread the word among ploppies that CSMs are designed take away any possible advantage, since the cards are essentially reshuffled every few minutes. Even proponents of the "sacred flow" or the "winning shoe" theories are trampled underfoot by these diabolical machines. Get the word out! Make it unprofitable for casinos to operate CSMs, and they will stop. There is no doubt about this.
They allow for faster play which is a great advantage to the casino. You'll always have the suckers waiting to play them that are even less informed than the most serious ploppy who "understands" about the "flow of the cards". :laugh:

As I see it, CSM's are here to stay unless the casinos want to go to all ASM's to speed up play or unless the rental fees become too exhorbitant.
 

shadroch

Well-Known Member
#7
aslan said:
My feeling is that even if a small advantage could be eked out, and it would be a very small advantage if any, we should boycott CSMs. In addition, APs should spread the word among ploppies that CSMs are designed take away any possible advantage, since the cards are essentially reshuffled every few minutes. Even proponents of the "sacred flow" or the "winning shoe" theories are trampled underfoot by these diabolical machines. Get the word out! Make it unprofitable for casinos to operate CSMs, and they will stop. There is no doubt about this.

How would you propose one does this? Obviously you can't stand behind a CSM table and say this, nor would an AP be sitting at the table.
If sitting at a regular ASM table, why expose your knowledge of the game in order to help strasngers?
An APs skills are no different from that of a mechanic or a lawyer. They worked and studied hard to get where they are so why share what they know with others for free? Best case scenerio, you save some stranger a few bucks. Worse case- pit starts to pay more attention to you.
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#8
paddywhack said:
They allow for faster play which is a great advantage to the casino. You'll always have the suckers waiting to play them that are even less informed than the most serious ploppy who "understands" about the "flow of the cards". :laugh:

As I see it, CSM's are here to stay unless the casinos want to go to all ASM's to speed up play or unless the rental fees become too exhorbitant.
No harm in trying. I will always talk them down whenever the opportunity arises.

OTOH, the brand new ASM, card-reader shoe combination, which I first saw at Parx in PA, seems to be a great way to speed up play once the operators get used to them. There is no handling of chips (except for quitting payout), no opportunity for chip cheaters, no arguments about who got dealt what, since an ongoing record is kept by the machine, no waiting to count the value of your hand (there's a readout that updates your total with each card dealt), no mistakes about you buy-in amount (the computer keeps track of each and every buy-in amount). As long as they don't use it to analyze whether you are counting or not, I think this approach works for everyone. If they are allowed to use such a machine to analyze your play, I wonder how difficult it will be to defeat it. Anyway, that is the only downside I see, and it remains to be seen whether the law will allow it and whether the casinos go that way.

PS--There always seems to be a downside to whatever improvements are made. :(
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#9
shadroch said:
How would you propose one does this? Obviously you can't stand behind a CSM table and say this, nor would an AP be sitting at the table.
If sitting at a regular ASM table, why expose your knowledge of the game in order to help strasngers?
An APs skills are no different from that of a mechanic or a lawyer. They worked and studied hard to get where they are so why share what they know with others for free? Best case scenerio, you save some stranger a few bucks. Worse case- pit starts to pay more attention to you.
I would never betray my skill. I only speak to ploppies in ploppy terms.

A conversation with a customer I was walking next to at a casino I recently visited went something like this:

Me: "I hate those continuous shuffle machines [nodding toward the CSM near us]. Sometimes all the good cards are near the end of the shoe, but they keep shuffling all the time. Every few cards it's a new shoe."

Him: Yeah, I hate them, too. I don't trust them. I think they can stack the deck."

I thereby was able to reinforce his distaste for CSMs. I hope he tells all his friends, too.

You could also say that you aren't able to see how the shoe is "flowing," because they shuffle too often. The shoe might start "flowing good" and they shuffle.

Or you could say that that you can't figure out when the shoe is "due to hit." Just when it's "due," they shuffle!

PS--As you may have guessed, I am very extroverted. I talk to people all the time wherever I play.
 

Billy C1

Well-Known Member
#10
I agree that we shouldn't brag about skills but how do you keep from laughing when people say you can't count 6 and 8 deck shoes? Especially, when it's a dealer that tells you that!

BillyC1
 

21gunsalute

Well-Known Member
#11
aslan said:
No harm in trying. I will always talk them down whenever the opportunity arises.

OTOH, the brand new ASM, card-reader shoe combination, which I first saw at Parx in PA, seems to be a great way to speed up play once the operators get used to them. There is no handling of chips (except for quitting payout), no opportunity for chip cheaters, no arguments about who got dealt what, since an ongoing record is kept by the machine, no waiting to count the value of your hand (there's a readout that updates your total with each card dealt), no mistakes about you buy-in amount (the computer keeps track of each and every buy-in amount). As long as they don't use it to analyze whether you are counting or not, I think this approach works for everyone. If they are allowed to use such a machine to analyze your play, I wonder how difficult it will be to defeat it. Anyway, that is the only downside I see, and it remains to be seen whether the law will allow it and whether the casinos go that way.

PS--There always seems to be a downside to whatever improvements are made. :(
It doesn't generate a 1099 too, does it?
 

21gunsalute

Well-Known Member
#12
shadroch said:
How would you propose one does this? Obviously you can't stand behind a CSM table and say this, nor would an AP be sitting at the table.
If sitting at a regular ASM table, why expose your knowledge of the game in order to help strasngers?
An APs skills are no different from that of a mechanic or a lawyer. They worked and studied hard to get where they are so why share what they know with others for free? Best case scenerio, you save some stranger a few bucks. Worse case- pit starts to pay more attention to you.
The same way word got out and around that the dealer wins the first hand of the shoe 83% of the time.
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#13
Billy C1 said:
I agree that we shouldn't brag about skills but how do you keep from laughing when people say you can't count 6 and 8 deck shoes? Especially, when it's a dealer that tells you that!

BillyC1
I've told ploppies that I have tried to count, but that my memory cannot get past ten or twelve cards before I start to forget some of them. :eek:
 

metronome

Well-Known Member
#14
Billy C1 said:
I agree that we shouldn't brag about skills but how do you keep from laughing when people say you can't count 6 and 8 deck shoes? Especially, when it's a dealer that tells you that!

BillyC1
Smile & nod approvingly.:cool:
 

metronome

Well-Known Member
#15
aslan said:
In addition, APs should spread the word among ploppies that CSMs are designed take away any possible advantage, since the cards are essentially reshuffled every few minutes. Even proponents of the "sacred flow" or the "winning shoe" theories are trampled underfoot by these diabolical machines. Get the word out! Make it unprofitable for casinos to operate CSMs, and they will stop. There is no doubt about this.
Aslan, I wish you were right about this.
My heart sinks whenever I go to Oklahoma Casinos and FULL TABLES at 50 cent ante Blackjack w/ CSMs no less!!! However you can't scream at the top of your lungs... MORONS !!!
Unless one of the esteemed members at this site would be so kind as to .......
BAIL MY ASS OUTTA JAIL :laugh:
Durant , OK has a really nice jail. Saw it back in '85... they took my pot too.:flame:
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#16
metronome said:
Aslan, I wish you were right about this.
My heart sinks whenever I go to Oklahoma Casinos and FULL TABLES at 50 cent ante Blackjack w/ CSMs no less!!! However you can't scream at the top of your lungs... MORONS !!!
Unless one of the esteemed members at this site would be so kind as to .......
BAIL MY ASS OUTTA JAIL :laugh:
Durant , OK has a really nice jail. Saw it back in '85... they took my pot too.:flame:
It may be a losing battle...but I'll keep trying. :(
 
#17
I've found that, (in my experiences), using an unbalanced system and finding the right table,(from playing Parx in PA) is the key to exploiting a CSM. Watching for a dealer that deals way more than 6 hands or so, 12 being optimal, but good luck finding it.
 
#18
metronome said:
Aslan, I wish you were right about this.
My heart sinks whenever I go to Oklahoma Casinos and FULL TABLES at 50 cent ante Blackjack w/ CSMs no less!!! However you can't scream at the top of your lungs... MORONS !!!
Unless one of the esteemed members at this site would be so kind as to .......
BAIL MY ASS OUTTA JAIL :laugh:
Durant , OK has a really nice jail. Saw it back in '85... they took my pot too.:flame:
50 cent ante?! Thats highway robbery! Compared to the 25 cent games at trump plaza in Atlantic city, that averages out to be 30$dollars an hour to play at that table! And with CSMs?! -dies-
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#19
Kirus said:
I've found that, (in my experiences), using an unbalanced system and finding the right table,(from playing Parx in PA) is the key to exploiting a CSM. Watching for a dealer that deals way more than 6 hands or so, 12 being optimal, but good luck finding it.
How many decks?
 

bjcardcounter

Well-Known Member
#20
aslan said:
How many decks?
Anyone knows the number of decks they use in CSM. In a Niagara casino I saw 5$/10$ pits using CSMs, they use to pile up the discard tray for about 3 hands (which is close to a deck) before inserting them back to the CSM. Not sure on the deck count though.
 
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