newb99 said:
Out of interest, do you know where your winnings / win-loss curve sits against a measure of Standard Deviation?
I always had a pretty good idea. My most extreme result was on the + side - up 862 flat-units in ~75000 hands. About 3 SD to the good. (Assumed flat-betting, didn't actually do it lol). Obviously I had to record my W's, L's, and T's and BJ's lol. Sounds like alot to do maybe but I found a way that was easy for me to do it lol.
At another joint, different software, different game, down 350 flat units in about 8700 hands - about 3 SD on the wrong side of the curve.
Intercasino used to have a SD game that was very close to zero HA and allowed it to be played for the bonus. The comp alone made it +EV. Using comp-dependent strategy lowered it more. Unfortunately it had a $25 min so not ideal lol for me. But I liked it.
Don't know the Betfair game but the closer to 0 HA the more susceptible to voodoo. a/k/a bet spreading in your terminology.
Like you I think, I mostly flat-bet, always used BS. If you want to pursue the SD stuff for your internet play, I can tell you what hoops you have to jump thru to do it. Let me know if you are interested in that aspect.