Recent content by DMMx3

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    Monaco

    I suppose no one knows. I'm headed there in a couple days so I will have to find out for myself. Anyone searching for Monaco info in the future feel free to PM me for details.
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    Two nagging questions

    1) How many units are you typically betting when insurance is -EV? 2) "Insuring 20s" ? You mean taking insurance when you have 20? Why does it matter what your hand is when you make a sidebet for a dealer blackjack?
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    Cdca

    No problem at all. Thanks so much for your help, and for a really cool program.
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    Cdca

    Thanks -- I did. I wasn't sure that he was the same KC. Now I am. Thank you.
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    Cdca

    I recently purchased CDCA, and sent an email to the address on the website to get the product key to unlock my version. However, the email bounced back. I don't see any other means of contacting CDCA on their website. Does anyone know anything about this? Contact info, etc? Thanks in advance.
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Right. How can we determine what k is, or even what it should approximately be? How did one come up with the .5 and .8 figures, for example? CDCA does this. In this instance ror is not zero, right? Since there is a minimum bet, ror must be > 0? This sort of gets back to the initial...
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Ah! OK, got it. Thanks. I haven't read it in awhile, but I believe Griffin's Theory of Blackjack shows a player advantage of something just under 1% if perfect composition dependent play is assumed. Playing with CDCA, I see that it happens on occasion that the player advantage exceeds 5%...
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Interesting stuff, though I admittedly don't quite understand everything you are talking about.
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Answering your questions/points: I want to maximize the total money made (EV). Maybe I need to work with Kelly betting. Composition is unplayed card composition. Thanks. I appreciate your thoughts.
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Thanks. I have CVData, and have used it for this, but like you said it won't do a betting strategy based on an exact advantage. I guess one way I could do it would be to use the best/most complex count, and use that. But a Composition Dependent determined edge would still be far better, as would...
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Good points. Thanks for your posts. As for a time constraint: Let's assume you must play 1000 (6 deck) shoes with another player. You can play as few or as many hands as you like. If you play them all, you will see something like an average of 30 hands/shoe (240 cards). But you can play fewer...
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    Bet Sizing in Theoretical Game

    Assume a theoretical blackjack game where we can calculate our exact advantage before each hand, and can play perfect composition-dependent strategy. We can also play or not play at any given time. We cannot play more than one hand at a time. Given this scenario, what would be an appropriate...
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    Hail Mary 10k Roll

    I didn't run a sim on this, but I would think the odds of losing 10K in 20 hrs with this approach are exceedingly slim, much lower than the 25% OP was asking for? Or am I missing something?
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    Blackjack being considered for Washington DC metro area...

    http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&source=s_q&hl=en&q=Tripleseven+Rd,+Potomac,+Loudoun,+Virginia+20165&sll=39.041555,-77.118415&sspn=0.009916,0.022724&ie=UTF8&cd=1&geocode=FU6zUwIdidZi-w&split=0&hq=&hnear=Tripleseven+Rd,+Potomac,+Loudoun,+Virginia+20165&ll=39.03907,-77.408724&spn=0.009917,0.022724&z...
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    Bad play... why do we give a darn?

    obviously some believe it, and some don't. i would say for the most part the dealers and pit people have the same superstitions as the average ploppy. Edit: thanks for bolding your post. I never would have seen it otherwise.
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