7 7 vs 8
- Thread starter BetWise21
- Start date
Oh Yesss! IMMEASURABLE VALUE!!!
The hand frequency of 7-7 vs 8 is 0.00044414 and a true count of +3 or more (for splitting in 6 deck dealt 4.5/6) has a frequency of about 0.087
So you will have on average the opportunity to "impress the pitboss" (and the galery) with 0.00003864 frequency or ONCE every 25880 hands of Blackjack. If you play 100 hands / hour, this is about one in 259 hours of play for a full time player, say twice a year. You better send the pitboss a VIP invitation to make sure he won't miss these opportunities...
Like you said, this is IMMEASURABLE...
The hand frequency of 7-7 vs 8 is 0.00044414 and a true count of +3 or more (for splitting in 6 deck dealt 4.5/6) has a frequency of about 0.087
So you will have on average the opportunity to "impress the pitboss" (and the galery) with 0.00003864 frequency or ONCE every 25880 hands of Blackjack. If you play 100 hands / hour, this is about one in 259 hours of play for a full time player, say twice a year. You better send the pitboss a VIP invitation to make sure he won't miss these opportunities...
Like you said, this is IMMEASURABLE...
Not that bad. I actually split the hand 7-7vs8 when the true count is greater than 0 because my consideration is that the HiLo count is not strongly correlated to that hand. Another consideration is that I have found some software bugs in these simulations, so the simulation results are not totally reliable. In addition, I noticed that when the TC is extremely high, we should not split it. This means there is interval of the TC for the splitting decision for this hand.
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First thing first, I made a mistake on the hand frequency for 7,7 vs 8 in 6 decks. The 0.00044414 I gave was for 8 decks. This particular hand frequency for the 6 decks shoe game is worse at 0.00044043 and the final result should be that you will see this hand about once every 26098 hands or once in about 261 hours of play (no real difference from the previous result).
For the hands you mention, the frequencies are the same (0.00044043) but the TC you need are higher thus making them even more rare... You need +4 or more (5.21%) to split 3,3 vs 8 and +5 or more (2.77%)to split 2,2 vs 8.
Make the calculations and you get:
7,7 vs 8 = Once every 26098 hands (once every 261 hours of play)
3,3 vs 8 = Once every 43580 hands (once every 436 hours of play)
2,2 vs 8 = Once every 81968 hands (once every 820 hours of play)
All in all, if you play 500 hours/year (most people really don't) you will get to lay your "show" for the pitboss about 7-8 times IN TWO YEARS or about 4 times per year.
Sorry, but no matter how you want to present your approach/estimation, the fact remain: You are splitting hairs.
For the hands you mention, the frequencies are the same (0.00044043) but the TC you need are higher thus making them even more rare... You need +4 or more (5.21%) to split 3,3 vs 8 and +5 or more (2.77%)to split 2,2 vs 8.
Make the calculations and you get:
7,7 vs 8 = Once every 26098 hands (once every 261 hours of play)
3,3 vs 8 = Once every 43580 hands (once every 436 hours of play)
2,2 vs 8 = Once every 81968 hands (once every 820 hours of play)
All in all, if you play 500 hours/year (most people really don't) you will get to lay your "show" for the pitboss about 7-8 times IN TWO YEARS or about 4 times per year.
Sorry, but no matter how you want to present your approach/estimation, the fact remain: You are splitting hairs.
This could be the stupidest thread and conversation I've seen in a while, and believe me when I tell you there's no scarcity of idiocy on blackjack sites.
Aceside and Moraine, you're debating with a former member of the MIT team who forgets more about BJ every day than the both of you combined will ever know in two lifetimes.
NO pair split--NONE!!--other than splitting tens, is worth even a single cent an hour for a player with a $10,000 bankroll, and most are worth much, much less than that. Using the word "valuable" in the same sentence as "7,7 vs. 8" makes the writer sound like an imbecile.
Don
Aceside and Moraine, you're debating with a former member of the MIT team who forgets more about BJ every day than the both of you combined will ever know in two lifetimes.
NO pair split--NONE!!--other than splitting tens, is worth even a single cent an hour for a player with a $10,000 bankroll, and most are worth much, much less than that. Using the word "valuable" in the same sentence as "7,7 vs. 8" makes the writer sound like an imbecile.
Don