A7 v 2

[smithj]

(6D, S17)

According to CVData the index to double on this hand is 1... however, I have lost 2 of 3 times so far (two spots with big bets; TC was > 3; the dealer didn't bust because of my play :cry

...so I was considering to avoid this index and stick to BS which is a stand. Any comments?

Thanks in advance,

J.

 

[bj bob]

(6D, S17)

According to CVData the index to double on this hand is 1... however, I have lost 2 of 3 times so far (two spots with big bets; TC was > 3; the dealer didn't bust because of my play :cry

...so I was seriously considering to avoid this index and stick to BS which is a stand. Any comments?

Thanks in advance,

J.

2 of 3 times, heah? I didn't get paid on three straight BJs last night(pushed). That statistic is absolutely meaningless. You cannot possibly infer anything from a sample of three. You need to readjust your perspective to the long run if you are serious about AP. Always trust the math.

 

[Sharky]

yes, your sample size is severely lacking...give it a few more million tries and report back in oh, say, June of 2061 :laugh:

 

[smithj]

lol maybe I didn't express myself properly... 2 of 3 times, because I have just learned that index a month ago... and for sure I know that 2 of 3 times is nothing... for that reason, I started this thread because some of you guys have those "million tries"... so based on your experience... do you use this index play?

J.

 

[FLASH1296]

YES … you continue to make the play as called for by the T.C.

However, if you have nagging bankroll issues you will want to use a Risk Averse Index which will be +2 for your count in all likelihood.

 

[NightStalker]

use Risk Aversion indices

you may try using +2 if the original is +1 to lower your variance.
BS is also fine, it helps in lowering the variance at the cost of EV..

 

[Sharky]

yes, that and several others...also understand that like BS, indices change with rules and # of decks so know your game and it's indices...don't take a knife to a gun battle.

good luck

 

[smithj]

you may try using +2 if the original is +1 to lower your variance.
BS is also fine, it helps in lowering the variance at the cost of EV..

Yes, I was doing exactly that... actually at 3... thanks!

 

[NightStalker]

that's good

Yes, I was doing exactly that... actually at 3... thanks!

I've lost my max bets-thrice at +6 when i doubled on soft 19 and got an ace which lost to dealer 21. If I would have stayed, dealer would have busted..
and yes, I still remember those three soft 19's double down

 

[shadroch]

(6D, S17)

According to CVData the index to double on this hand is 1... however, I have lost 2 of 3 times so far (two spots with big bets; TC was > 3; the dealer didn't bust because of my play :cry

...so I was considering to avoid this index and stick to BS which is a stand. Any comments?

Thanks in advance,

J.

How many other indices are you using? Its not like this one is going to change your life, one way or the other.