tthree said:
Did you look at the question and answer part of that literature? He is talking about winning 50% of the points. That is not what you will experience with ssr 6.5. You will win about 43% of your points. You will lose about 57% of your points. The math you are sold on is not what will experience. I would put my bets up on the numbers I decide not the comeout. You are talking about 18 bets to start with. I would really try to crawl before I try to fly.
Sometimes before a trip I would practice several hours a day for 3 days as always and find I was really getting the tumble from both dice but with my standard setting I was rolling lots of sevens. I would expect an ssr of about 12 with the outstanding control I had but was seeing an ssr of 4. I would have to spend hours with pen and paper figuring out what dice setting to use so my control would produce the most advantageous results.
I went to the casino and my dad kept pointing out I wasnt using the right setting of the dice. I would tell him I know what I am doing and rolled sixes and eights 2 out of every 3 rolls. Had I not known how to adjust the best control of my life would have produced a lot of sevens. There is a lot more to DI than you realize.
Why you used a pen and paper with tools like bonetracker is what i dont understand. I think i understand more then what people are giving me credit for. That being said he isnt saying you will make 50% of your points. He is saying the 50% being able to repeat a point.
~Let’s say that our shooter hits it about 43% of the time. That means he’ll be 7’ing-Out before repeating it, about 57% of the time.
~Again though, even with that 43%-to-57% imbalance between winning PL-Points and losing PL-Points on a 3x/4x/5x-Odds table, he’ll still produce a 3.2% return on his total PL w/Odds investment.
If he steps it up to 10x-Odds at a higher-Odds house; his edge climbs to 11.55%.
Take a similar look when the PL-Point is a 6 or 8:
~A random-roller will likely repeat it about 45.5% of the time.
~Let’s say that our shooter hits it about 49% of the time. That means he’ll be 7’ing-Out before repeating it, about 51% of the time.
~Even with the 49%/51% imbalance between repeating and not repeating his PL-Points on a 3x/4x/5x-Odds table, he’ll produce a 6.2% return on his total PL w/Odds investment.
If he brings those exact same shooting skills
I think either we are reading different posts or im missing something, quotes would be helpful.
And where are you getting 18 bets? If i bet the way the article says ide have 2. 5 one the passline, and then odds.