Hey guys new poster here.

I just started learning to count cards and have made several trips to the casino. I'm using the red 7 count. I wong in at a running count of +3 or higher and always bet 1 unit (I don't have a very big bankroll to risk at the moment). The casino I've been playing at uses 6 decks and the penetration is 4.5/6. Now for my questions.

(1) During one of my recent trips, I sat backcounting through about 4-5 shoes and the running count never went positive. At two shoes the count even got to -30 or lower. How likely is it that the count will never get to +3 or higher under these playing conditions?

(2) When should I stop backcounting (b/c the count is too low and unlikely to get positive) and go find a new table?

(3) Christmas break starts pretty soon so I plan on going to the casino pretty frequently. There's 2 casinos near by where I live. Both are fairly small casinos. They have about 8 tables of blackjack going at a time. Suppose I spent 20 hours a week at each casino. Is backcounting and only coming in at running counts of +3 or higher going to make it obvious that I'm counting cards?

Thanks in advance for any help!

I just started learning to count cards and have made several trips to the casino. I'm using the red 7 count. I wong in at a running count of +3 or higher and always bet 1 unit (I don't have a very big bankroll to risk at the moment). The casino I've been playing at uses 6 decks and the penetration is 4.5/6. Now for my questions.

(1) During one of my recent trips, I sat backcounting through about 4-5 shoes and the running count never went positive. At two shoes the count even got to -30 or lower. How likely is it that the count will never get to +3 or higher under these playing conditions?

(2) When should I stop backcounting (b/c the count is too low and unlikely to get positive) and go find a new table?

(3) Christmas break starts pretty soon so I plan on going to the casino pretty frequently. There's 2 casinos near by where I live. Both are fairly small casinos. They have about 8 tables of blackjack going at a time. Suppose I spent 20 hours a week at each casino. Is backcounting and only coming in at running counts of +3 or higher going to make it obvious that I'm counting cards?

Thanks in advance for any help!

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