Recent content by non-self-weighter

  1. non-self-weighter

    Overall Risk of Ruin When Investing Bankroll

    I'm using the following RoR formula: e ^ (-2 * WR * BR ÷ VAR) WR = win rate BR = bankroll Suppose, since I don't require high liquidity with most of bankroll, I want to invest I% of BR in stocks. BR - I will either be in a savings account (considered 0% risk) or in cash. I have...
  2. non-self-weighter

    the card counters guide to NLHE

    fwiw, it is somewhat uncommon to be a 90% favorite, at least on the flop. it is not like you are often playing with 70-90% equity. i'm not sure the exact figures, but i'm sure the player will often have a huge advantage in blackjack as well. your thought process here is fuzzy - comparing a...
  3. non-self-weighter

    Online Poker Success

    btw, you can view any players cards that make it to showdown, even if they lose and much. even though it doesn't appear visually, you can still view the cards in the log (hand history thingy). there are also hud programs, such as Poker Ace Hud (which works with PokerTracker) and Hold'em Manager...
  4. non-self-weighter

    Pokerstars.net

    Just to reitterate others: PokerStars is the most legit and professional there is. They are also "US friendly." They also have extremely good customer service.
  5. non-self-weighter

    Poker Question

    Do you want to play limit or no limit? Tournaments or cash games? NL - Already Mentioned (Professional No-Limit Hold 'Em) Limit - Small Stakes Hold'em Poker If you also want to play tourneys, in addition to the above book(s), you should also read Harrington on Hold'em (which focuses...
  6. non-self-weighter

    Sports Betting Bonuses

    I just did a bit more review and have realized this "rollover" essentially nullifies any bonuses. I am not a handicapper, but have looked for some resources on the subject and would appreciate if you could redirect me in that regard. As far as seeking EV from bonuses, I give up (thankfully...
  7. non-self-weighter

    Sports Betting Bonuses

    Suppose I simply want to realize bonuses from first time deposits on sports betting sites. What types of bets should I look for? I want lowest risk of losing my deposit. How should I size my bets?
  8. non-self-weighter

    simple question EVERYONE!

    dealer does not have options like you, such as double down, split, surrender as previously mentioned, dealer does not get paid 3:2 on insurance MOST of a counter's advantage does not come from winning more often, it comes from more successful splits/doubles with high count, and getting...
  9. non-self-weighter

    Ace value for betting, using multi-parameter system

    Thanks Sonny and ZG. So I will increase running count by 2 per excess ace, using Hi Opt II, for betting purposes only. I will be interested to read Humble's indexes, but for now I will create indexes using HOII w/o SC. ZG, does multiparameter only apply to playing efficiency?
  10. non-self-weighter

    Ace value for betting, using multi-parameter system

    I am ready to move to a mulit-parameter level 2 system for DD blackjack: Hi Opt II with Ace SC. If I understand correctly from Theory of Blackjack, an excess ace should increase the true count by 1 for betting purposes. However, the Hi Opt I count was being used in the example. Is one excess...
  11. non-self-weighter

    Hi-Lo TC rounding

    You can round, floor, truncate, or do anything you want, as long as you are using the appropriate indexes for the method you select. Do whatever you prefer, then run a sim to generate indexes using the rounding method you prefer.
  12. non-self-weighter

    Please Forgive a Newbie

    For a card counter (not a shuffle tracker), all unseen cards are treated the same, whether they are behind or in front of the cut card. Assume you know there are exactly 5 aces that haven't been played yet. The game is as you described, 100 cards are cut off. Let's say there are 200 cards...
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