Aw heck - if that above post means you won't be updating us as often. But, if you're happy/relieved, I'm happy for you. Maybe things happen for a reason even if we don't understand it.
Anyway, as far as tipping goes, I guess just recording gross and net wins would go along way toward seeing it's effect on win rate. I always just count it as a regular-life expense like I'd tip a waitress at dinner. In effect that way it's always in the bankroll. I guess if you're not really willing to add it back in to original roll, it definitely would effect ROR.
As for cover-betting ideally you want it already built in to your sim. If not, at least you know how much you've been doing it or not and make a best -guess. No idea about Powersim but I think Norm's stuff can handle stuff like that.
Another thing that can throw things off, since that's $93 per 100 hands assumed to be an hours play, if all you eventually know is "I played 100 hours" you might think you should have won 9300. But if you only really played 75 hands an hour, for the reasons like you mentioned, you should have only won $7K. Then if you're tipping $20 an hour and actually won $5000 and think it's only $50/an hour, maybe it's actually closer to $70 and you are not as far off as it may seem. So guessing how many hands played in a session is a good way to go. Can't hurt to have both.
Try keeping the ROR's the same in those DD comparisons of poor to good pens. Use the same game, spread, etc. I think you'll find there's a big difference in win rates and probably your min unit has increased at the higher pens.
Not sure why one would choose to play at all different kinds of ROR as opposed to betting roll for a game to the same risk you're comfortable playing at.
As far as swings go , guess it was on the internet, that you wonder if I really actually played lol, that the only difference between you and me is you say I lost x in a session betting something. I was more like I lost 25 units in 200 hands or 2000, whatever, hands and how likely is that. I mean at least I knew I was 1 in 500 unlucky. At one joint, after about 7700 hands, down 400+ flat-units I was approaching 1 in 10000 unlucky and beginning to wonder when bad luck ends and a crooked game begins. But of course much easier on the internet since I always knew how many hands I played nad could always figure out a flat-unit result even if I varied bets - much harder in real-life. No way was I going to play against a computer with no way of figuring if they were cheating. I was sure they probably would be. So that's how all this boring bulls*it of comparing actual to expected began lol. Fear is a good motivator lol and I was scared to death.
Good luck. Retiring as a winner ain't all bad!
Anyway, as far as tipping goes, I guess just recording gross and net wins would go along way toward seeing it's effect on win rate. I always just count it as a regular-life expense like I'd tip a waitress at dinner. In effect that way it's always in the bankroll. I guess if you're not really willing to add it back in to original roll, it definitely would effect ROR.
As for cover-betting ideally you want it already built in to your sim. If not, at least you know how much you've been doing it or not and make a best -guess. No idea about Powersim but I think Norm's stuff can handle stuff like that.
Another thing that can throw things off, since that's $93 per 100 hands assumed to be an hours play, if all you eventually know is "I played 100 hours" you might think you should have won 9300. But if you only really played 75 hands an hour, for the reasons like you mentioned, you should have only won $7K. Then if you're tipping $20 an hour and actually won $5000 and think it's only $50/an hour, maybe it's actually closer to $70 and you are not as far off as it may seem. So guessing how many hands played in a session is a good way to go. Can't hurt to have both.
Try keeping the ROR's the same in those DD comparisons of poor to good pens. Use the same game, spread, etc. I think you'll find there's a big difference in win rates and probably your min unit has increased at the higher pens.
Not sure why one would choose to play at all different kinds of ROR as opposed to betting roll for a game to the same risk you're comfortable playing at.
As far as swings go , guess it was on the internet, that you wonder if I really actually played lol, that the only difference between you and me is you say I lost x in a session betting something. I was more like I lost 25 units in 200 hands or 2000, whatever, hands and how likely is that. I mean at least I knew I was 1 in 500 unlucky. At one joint, after about 7700 hands, down 400+ flat-units I was approaching 1 in 10000 unlucky and beginning to wonder when bad luck ends and a crooked game begins. But of course much easier on the internet since I always knew how many hands I played nad could always figure out a flat-unit result even if I varied bets - much harder in real-life. No way was I going to play against a computer with no way of figuring if they were cheating. I was sure they probably would be. So that's how all this boring bulls*it of comparing actual to expected began lol. Fear is a good motivator lol and I was scared to death.
Good luck. Retiring as a winner ain't all bad!
