need some advice--cause i dont wanna end up on the street broke.
am staying here at binions--free through july11--had 28 days of a comped room--just goes to show u how much ive played their video BJ machine that shuffles after 2 3rds of a 6 deck shoe. and ive always assumed the shuffle took place when they changed dealers. but ive been getting killed on it.
to start with i was over $3000 ahead--and now im down to $1900 left of a $8300 roll i was once up to--and thats my whole WSOP bankroll left--and that was supposed to be used for $2-5 NL at the rio--not for blackjack. played it so heavily i ran up about $1200 worth of comps--which is why i got the free room so long.
has anyone found out a way to tell for sure when it shuffles? and if not advice on how to play it would be helpful. at first i seemed to lose mostly on highly positive counts--i tended to play all 5 spots by myself--betting never over the $3 minimum on negative counts--and often dropping to 1 hand but not always. then on positive counts sometimes but not often--id bet as much as over $120 per hand--(which is $600 if u play all 5 to lower variance--at least im assuming that lowers variance). and i think i was way overbetting my bankroll. so when i started losing so much--i drastically lowered my bet--and now my max bet is at $20 (1% of my roll).
i'm thinking i shouldnt play it anymore at all and stick to shortstacking the $1-2 NL $50 at a time to kill time thru july 11--just to be safe--and not lose this last $1900. i would leave town now and return home maybe if i knew a way to turn my final $870 in binions comps into cash.
but if i do play it--would sure be able to use advice--so i dont lose. main questions are--how can i be sure of when its shuffling? and if u cant tell--how do u change the way u count? and if i lowered my $20 max bet per hand to only $10 per hand--is that enough a spread to overcome the fact most of the time the counts gonna be negative--and ill be losing most $3 bets. i dont start off max betting on positive counts--i raise the bets up slowly depending on how its going and how much the counts positive.
anyone whose not comfortable posting this in the forum--please email
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