Hi Everybody,
I started counting cards back in August. I practice rigourously and regularly by using Casino Verite and frequenting casinos every weekend. I am able to count a deck down in less than 20 seconds and very rarely make any mistakes in my count.
I am using the Hi-Lo system with the Illustrious 18 deviation. I normally play at the $25-$500 8-deck table with a penetration of 75%-80%. All my basic strategy, Ill18, and divisions for calculating the TC are tip top.
Last week when I went I came out with a loss of roughly $11,000. I am still getting over the shock of it, especially because the RC was so through the roof that I had TCs as high as +7!
My betting spread is as follows for the according TC's:
-/0 = $25
+1 = $60
+2 = $150
+3 = $300
+4 = $390
+5/+ = $480
I normally play even when RC is in the negatives to deter heat at the table as most 'sheep' players despise others yo-yo-ing in and out of a shoe since they believe it "screws up the cards". I must stress though, most of my losses
occur when I bet big.
With the terrific shoes that I had, I would say that during this last trip the dealer had a record amount of 21s... all beginning with bust cards! I could not believe what I saw. TC would be at +7, and dealer showed a 6. Then a face card, and finally butchered us all with a five. Perfect 21s left, right and center,....all created out of bust cards! At best I would be tying the dealer with BJs, but other than that I am at a loss of words to tell you how often the dealer had 21. And how often each of them started out with the dealer showing a bust card!
I would say I'm pretty good at this, and am happy with Hi-Lo. I don't want to move up to another strategy just yet. I would kindly like to ask, how much I should be making an hour roughly with this sort of betting spread, system and table type? I am realizing that when I leave winning, I am making an average of $1200 after a day or 2 (8 hours each) of play. However, when I lose, I always lose BIG. Three weeks ago I lost around $10k and then it took me about 3 weeks to make back that money, only for it to be lost from this last trip. Basically, my wins are not proportional to my losses. It seems like I always end up breaking even. I make back these losses little by little only to take another huge blow.
On another note, I also want to emphasize how strict I am about taking care of my emotions, diet, and sleep during the trips to avoid fatigue, prevent any human errors and to successfully cope with the losses.
Can anybody detect a possible error I made on my behalf that could explain the huge blows to my bankroll?
Thanks in advance,
mp
I started counting cards back in August. I practice rigourously and regularly by using Casino Verite and frequenting casinos every weekend. I am able to count a deck down in less than 20 seconds and very rarely make any mistakes in my count.
I am using the Hi-Lo system with the Illustrious 18 deviation. I normally play at the $25-$500 8-deck table with a penetration of 75%-80%. All my basic strategy, Ill18, and divisions for calculating the TC are tip top.
Last week when I went I came out with a loss of roughly $11,000. I am still getting over the shock of it, especially because the RC was so through the roof that I had TCs as high as +7!
My betting spread is as follows for the according TC's:
-/0 = $25
+1 = $60
+2 = $150
+3 = $300
+4 = $390
+5/+ = $480
I normally play even when RC is in the negatives to deter heat at the table as most 'sheep' players despise others yo-yo-ing in and out of a shoe since they believe it "screws up the cards". I must stress though, most of my losses
occur when I bet big.
With the terrific shoes that I had, I would say that during this last trip the dealer had a record amount of 21s... all beginning with bust cards! I could not believe what I saw. TC would be at +7, and dealer showed a 6. Then a face card, and finally butchered us all with a five. Perfect 21s left, right and center,....all created out of bust cards! At best I would be tying the dealer with BJs, but other than that I am at a loss of words to tell you how often the dealer had 21. And how often each of them started out with the dealer showing a bust card!
I would say I'm pretty good at this, and am happy with Hi-Lo. I don't want to move up to another strategy just yet. I would kindly like to ask, how much I should be making an hour roughly with this sort of betting spread, system and table type? I am realizing that when I leave winning, I am making an average of $1200 after a day or 2 (8 hours each) of play. However, when I lose, I always lose BIG. Three weeks ago I lost around $10k and then it took me about 3 weeks to make back that money, only for it to be lost from this last trip. Basically, my wins are not proportional to my losses. It seems like I always end up breaking even. I make back these losses little by little only to take another huge blow.
On another note, I also want to emphasize how strict I am about taking care of my emotions, diet, and sleep during the trips to avoid fatigue, prevent any human errors and to successfully cope with the losses.
Can anybody detect a possible error I made on my behalf that could explain the huge blows to my bankroll?
Thanks in advance,
mp
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