It is certainly true that game conditions are not as good as they were ten years ago, but there is another factor that I think offsets that negative. Table games are spreading to new jurisdictions at a faster pace than I have ever seen.
For players who are willing to travel, there are so many new venues to play that I think this is something of a golden age for the game. If you get away from the well-worn games in Vegas, there are tons of fantastic opportunities at small properties all over the country. If your target bet size is anything up to a low spread in black chips, there are lots of places to get a decent game.
For a weekend warrior, this may not be much help. If your local games deteriorate, you may not have the flexibility to travel far afield in search of better conditions. But before you give up on the profitability of the casinos nearest you, make sure you look with an open mind at all the opportunities there. Look at other games, and look at promotions.
Interesting! Perhaps management intends for the dealers to press the button even though the system is offline. Sort of like having a video camera globe even if there isn’t a real camera inside. 🙂
What you said makes sense. I have in the past complained about players taking Dealer bust cards.
But, I can remember when a inexperienced player was doing all the wrong plays but Winning.
Matter of fact I was winning too!!
I will not complain of inexperienced players again. You’re right if it wasn’t for them Playing would be different.
I’m going to Reno for three nights last this month
I have a minor degree in math, and learned these calculations. Some rumors seem to live forever. Maybe casinos know they bring in people to gamble—you sure never see them disputed by the owners. Thanks for a great news letter and site.
As always, Ken, you are absolutely correct; however……………….I always liked to agree that Johnny Clueless was KILLING me. Why? If the casino pit crew believes that I think that, then they cannot possibly believe I am an advantage player.
I agree 100 per cent . Basic strategy has been figured out by computer programmers and by mathematicians. It all depends on what you have and by what the dealer has, not by what other players are doing.
I know it is a rule that you must hit against a Dealers Ace when it is that he does not have a Blackjack even if the player has a double down hand, this I do not understand. I have been doubling down and most the time I have won. Can you explain.
Sorry but this article is for idiots… If you ever thought other players would affect your results then hehhh you’re the kind of sucker gambler a jackpot for the casino.
@George Low
I assume you mean with a player hand of 11, and a dealer upcard of Ace.
In a game where the dealer stands on all 17s, the basic strategy is to just hit 11vA instead of double down. Like all of basic strategy, this is determined by examining which option either makes the most money in the long run, or saves the most money in the case of losing hands.
If you are instead playing a game where the dealer hits soft 17, the dealer will bust slightly more often with an Ace up, and the basic strategy changes. You should double down 11vA instead of hit in an H17 game.
For card counters, because these are fairly close calls, you’ll often deviate from basic strategy based on the count.
In 6D S17, double 11vA if the count is +1 or higher.
In 6D H17, double 11vA if the count is 0 or higher.
A probabilities undergrad course is all it takes to agree with your explanation. Anyway, it helps players to blame someone else for their losses. Thanks for your newsletter.
I somewhat disagree that Johnny Clueless has no affect on my hand if he hits. In your example I have a 50/50 chance of winning if Johnny stays. But if he hits, I then have a 75% chance of winning or losing depending on the card drawn by Johnny. Did Johnny’s hit cause me to lose or win? No, but it did affect my chances of winning or losing.
@Uncledougy:
“I then have a 75% chance of winning or losing depending on the card drawn by Johnny.”
But you don’t know which card he will draw. Your chance of winning the hand in this situation is unchanged. If he stands, you win 50% of the time. If he draws a card, you win 50% of the time.
The way I see it, a good card counter should use these superstitions, particularly the positive ones, to their advantage. Create an image where you either believe them or “keep an open mind” about those folly beliefs. Use the positive superstitions to encourage other players and keep the casino people thinking “Another superstitious fool who’s going to lose all his money, LOL! Give the player (card counter) what he/she wants”.
For example: Great job, you changed the flow of the cards just in time. You saved the table with that move I never would of considered (Ignoring the times when their bad move killed the table and praising them for saving it)! Let it ride baby (make them think you’re chasing a winning streak, when in reality the count is sizzling HOT)! I’ve been losing, I don’t want to keep playing this cold shoe. My hand of bad luck 13 killed me, I’m changing tables (The reality is, you’re switching tables/lowering your bets because the true count suddenly turned negative.
It is certainly true that game conditions are not as good as they were ten years ago, but there is another factor that I think offsets that negative. Table games are spreading to new jurisdictions at a faster pace than I have ever seen.
For players who are willing to travel, there are so many new venues to play that I think this is something of a golden age for the game. If you get away from the well-worn games in Vegas, there are tons of fantastic opportunities at small properties all over the country. If your target bet size is anything up to a low spread in black chips, there are lots of places to get a decent game.
For a weekend warrior, this may not be much help. If your local games deteriorate, you may not have the flexibility to travel far afield in search of better conditions. But before you give up on the profitability of the casinos nearest you, make sure you look with an open mind at all the opportunities there. Look at other games, and look at promotions.
ฉันเป็นดีลเลอร์เกมโต๊ะ คาสิโนที่ฉันทำงานมีเซ็นเซอร์ RFID อยู่ในโต๊ะ บนโต๊ะมีปุ่มสีขาวเล็กๆ สำหรับดีลเลอร์กดเมื่อเขาหรือเธอปิดการเดิมพัน เมื่อกดปุ่ม การเดิมพันจะถูกบันทึกไว้ นั่นคือทฤษฎีเบื้องหลังระบบนี้ เท่าที่ฉันทำงานในคาสิโนนี้ ระบบไม่เคยออนไลน์เลย น่าสนใจที่ได้เห็นดีลเลอร์ใหม่ยังคงกดปุ่มตามที่พวกเขาได้รับการฝึกฝนให้ทำ.
Interesting! Perhaps management intends for the dealers to press the button even though the system is offline. Sort of like having a video camera globe even if there isn’t a real camera inside. 🙂
ข้อดีประการหนึ่งคือ ตัวแทนจำหน่ายอาจคิดว่าพวกเขาถูกควบคุมโดยคาสิโนอย่างสมบูรณ์.
เช่นเดียวกับใน “Lance Humbles – หนังสือที่ยิ่งใหญ่ที่สุด” ที่ว่า “เจ้ามือคือศัตรูของผู้เล่น” พวกเขาอาจจะไม่พยายามโกงคุณ.
What you said makes sense. I have in the past complained about players taking Dealer bust cards.
But, I can remember when a inexperienced player was doing all the wrong plays but Winning.
Matter of fact I was winning too!!
I will not complain of inexperienced players again. You’re right if it wasn’t for them Playing would be different.
I’m going to Reno for three nights last this month
I have a minor degree in math, and learned these calculations. Some rumors seem to live forever. Maybe casinos know they bring in people to gamble—you sure never see them disputed by the owners. Thanks for a great news letter and site.
As always, Ken, you are absolutely correct; however……………….I always liked to agree that Johnny Clueless was KILLING me. Why? If the casino pit crew believes that I think that, then they cannot possibly believe I am an advantage player.
@Norman Sheridan:
You have a point there Norm. Looking like a typical superstitious gambler is a good idea. Being one is another matter entirely. 🙂
I agree 100 per cent . Basic strategy has been figured out by computer programmers and by mathematicians. It all depends on what you have and by what the dealer has, not by what other players are doing.
I know it is a rule that you must hit against a Dealers Ace when it is that he does not have a Blackjack even if the player has a double down hand, this I do not understand. I have been doubling down and most the time I have won. Can you explain.
Sorry but this article is for idiots… If you ever thought other players would affect your results then hehhh you’re the kind of sucker gambler a jackpot for the casino.
I agree 100%…being a dealer you know the the cards can go either way.
I believe in Table Karma. Wrong creates BAD. Right creates GOOD.
@George Low
I assume you mean with a player hand of 11, and a dealer upcard of Ace.
In a game where the dealer stands on all 17s, the basic strategy is to just hit 11vA instead of double down. Like all of basic strategy, this is determined by examining which option either makes the most money in the long run, or saves the most money in the case of losing hands.
If you are instead playing a game where the dealer hits soft 17, the dealer will bust slightly more often with an Ace up, and the basic strategy changes. You should double down 11vA instead of hit in an H17 game.
For card counters, because these are fairly close calls, you’ll often deviate from basic strategy based on the count.
In 6D S17, double 11vA if the count is +1 or higher.
In 6D H17, double 11vA if the count is 0 or higher.
I’ve found the best way to keep away from the “clueless” is to play at $25 and up tables! Then YOUR skill is tested!
A probabilities undergrad course is all it takes to agree with your explanation. Anyway, it helps players to blame someone else for their losses. Thanks for your newsletter.
I somewhat disagree that Johnny Clueless has no affect on my hand if he hits. In your example I have a 50/50 chance of winning if Johnny stays. But if he hits, I then have a 75% chance of winning or losing depending on the card drawn by Johnny. Did Johnny’s hit cause me to lose or win? No, but it did affect my chances of winning or losing.
@Uncledougy:
“I then have a 75% chance of winning or losing depending on the card drawn by Johnny.”
But you don’t know which card he will draw. Your chance of winning the hand in this situation is unchanged. If he stands, you win 50% of the time. If he draws a card, you win 50% of the time.
@Julian:
I see your point!
ส่วนตัวแล้วฉันเป็นผู้เล่นที่ค่อนข้างระมัดระวัง ถ้าฉันมีแต้มอยู่ที่ยี่สิบ โอกาสที่ฉันจะชนะก็สูงกว่า เช่นเดียวกับบทความข้างต้น การเล่นแบบนี้มักจะดึงดูดความสนใจมากเกินไป โดยเฉพาะถ้าโต๊ะเสียเพราะการเล่นแบบนี้ การเล่นด้วยไพ่สองสำรับเป็นวิธีเดียวที่จะใช้กลยุทธ์พื้นฐานและการนับไพ่ได้ หากคุณไม่ทำการนับไพ่และใช้การจัดการเงินอย่างเคร่งครัด คุณก็ไม่จำเป็นต้องเล่นเกมนี้หากคุณต้องการชนะเงินคุณยังต้องมีกลยุทธ์การเดิมพันที่วางแผนไว้ล่วงหน้าก่อนเข้าคาสิโน ตัวอย่างเช่น การนับอยู่ที่ +5 หากคุณเดิมพัน 4 หน่วยและชนะ ให้กลับไปเป็น 3 หากคุณชนะอีกครั้ง ให้เป็น 5 หากคุณชนะอีกครั้ง ให้เป็น 4 หากคุณแพ้คุณยังคงชนะ 8 หน่วยต่อครั้งหากคุณเพิ่มเงินเดิมพันเป็นสองเท่า คุณจะกลับไปจุดเริ่มต้นหรือแย่กว่านั้น นี่คือสิ่งที่คาสิโนชอบ พวกเขาเรียกคุณว่าชาวบ้าน ที่สำคัญที่สุดคือคุณต้องมีวินัยสูงมาก รู้ว่าเมื่อไหร่ควรลุกขึ้น มันไม่สำคัญว่าคุณจะเล่นอะไรหรือคุณเก่งแค่ไหน ไพ่จะเปลี่ยนไปในไม่ช้า จงจากไปเป็นผู้ชนะเสมอ.
The way I see it, a good card counter should use these superstitions, particularly the positive ones, to their advantage. Create an image where you either believe them or “keep an open mind” about those folly beliefs. Use the positive superstitions to encourage other players and keep the casino people thinking “Another superstitious fool who’s going to lose all his money, LOL! Give the player (card counter) what he/she wants”.
For example: Great job, you changed the flow of the cards just in time. You saved the table with that move I never would of considered (Ignoring the times when their bad move killed the table and praising them for saving it)! Let it ride baby (make them think you’re chasing a winning streak, when in reality the count is sizzling HOT)! I’ve been losing, I don’t want to keep playing this cold shoe. My hand of bad luck 13 killed me, I’m changing tables (The reality is, you’re switching tables/lowering your bets because the true count suddenly turned negative.