Recent content by Jumpfreak888

  1. J

    Lecture Scene

    Here's a really easy way to "understand" it. You agree that your odds of picking a goat are 2/3 when you first guess, right? Of course you do. The gameshow host will reveal a goat no matter what, right? Of course. Based on this alone, IF YOU PICK A GOAT INITIALLY, THE GAMESHOW HOST IS...
  2. J

    Seasoned veterans - are you still winning?

    Nooksack River Casino offers late surrender and liberal rules on their six deck game, not to mention 85% penetration. Their double deck game is rough - hs17, d1011, ndas, but offer 'midshoe' entry.
  3. J

    Seasoned veterans - are you still winning?

    Given today's declining "beatable" games, I am curious. Though the blackjack available to me (in WA) is beatable, I simply do not have the bankroll to validate the inevitable fluctuation risk. As such, I've been playing blackjack tournaments to moderate success.
  4. J

    Anyone interested in Training a Team? + Questions

    I too, desire to play on / form a team. It's unfortunate that I live in WA.
  5. J

    Wild Ace Coupon

    There is a casino in my area that offers one '1st card as an ace' per day - 6 days a week. (Up thru September) The ace is saved on pushes, and blackjacks are paid 3-2. The max bet is $25. Does this mean that I am expected to clear $75 a week mathematically? Better still, on the way home there...
  6. J

    Bankroll Building

    Pelerus, I am in a VERY similar situation to your own. I am 21 years old, a college student, severly underfunded, and highly interested in advantage play. I've studied and practiced my ass off, and consider myself to be a very 'capable' advantage player. My solution to you - for now, just...
  7. J

    Just HOW important is it to leave when the count is negative?

    Of course, we all know that we'll save a lot of money in the long run by avoiding negative counts, but how practical is this? Of all of the 'seasoned' counters here, how many of you get up and walk away when the TRUE count gets below, say, -1? I usually only get up and leave when the true...
  8. J

    More wisdom, please?

    No heat. I don't even care about heat. I play aggresively yet subtlely. I almost want to get backed off. haha. I doubt they will though. Casinos around here don't really care unless you're betting $50+ per hand.
  9. J

    More wisdom, please?

    I can't quite find an approximate value of my expected win rate given 'my' particular playing situation. qfit.com's 'profit calculator' doesn't take into consideration specific playing rules. Rather, just the strategy used, the penetration, the total bankroll and betting spread. My...
  10. J

    Just need to vent - reassurance, anyone? :-)

    Yeah, you guys are right. As stanford wong once put it, "You must be able to lose a lot of money. You do not want to lose, but you will lose frequently. You will win frequently too, and over the long haul, you are certain to win more than you lose, but the long haul may be a long time in...
  11. J

    Just need to vent - reassurance, anyone? :-)

    Worst negative fluctuation I've ever hit. Playing a double-deck game with great penetration, 1-6 spread. The count hardly ever called for a large bet (rather, it was mostly negative) so I flat bet a measly $5 a majority of the time. Within 2 hours, I was down $260. At one point I'm pretty...
  12. J

    Fab 4?

    :laugh: :laugh: :laugh: This game surely can be brutal.
  13. J

    Fab 4?

    Gotcha, thanks! You've been really helpful, Sonny, kudos :grin:
  14. J

    Fab 4?

    I was looking at winning rates at qfit.com and I stumbled across my most likely scenario. "wong's havles with illustrious 18 / fab 4" I know the illustrious 18, but what is fab 4? Thanks!, Dan
  15. J

    Bankroll requirements

    Argh...I am trying to remain disciplined and NOT overbet my bankroll, and I need a bit of advice so I don't rush out to the tables ill-equiped. About how much will I need to reduce my risk of ruin to 'acceptable' levels (10% or less) with a 1 - 8 spread...$40 being my 'big bet' to start off...
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