Most Common Mistake?

Discussion in 'General' started by dangeroso, Jan 25, 2008.

  1. dangeroso

    dangeroso Well-Known Member

    The most common strategy mistake I see is the splitting of 10s. Even against a 10 or 9 face, people split 10s over and over, even after busting out the split or drawing low cards.

    What do you guys see a lot of?
     
  2. El Gordo

    El Gordo Member

    My friend, this may not be a mistake.
     
  3. Doofus

    Doofus Well-Known Member

    Not doubling an 11 against a dealer 10 is the mistake I see from ploppies most often. Splitting low pairs against a high dealer up card is also common.
     
  4. SecurityRisk

    SecurityRisk Well-Known Member

    How about double any soft hand vs. any "bust" card. I see people double A3 vs. 3 all the time. Although they would never double A7.
     
  5. jack.jackson

    jack.jackson Well-Known Member

    By far the most common. Standing on A7 vs 9 or X
     
  6. Canceler

    Canceler Well-Known Member

    A, 7 gets my vote too.

    And failing to double when appropriate.
     
  7. Frankie

    Frankie Well-Known Member

    Where one earth are you playing that you see this mistake so commonly? I almost never see it American casinos, though I saw it often in Asia and Oceania when playing there.

    Most misplayed hands are (1) Soft 18 (almost never doubled or hit); (2) over-doubling of soft hands (e.g., doubling Soft 13 vs. 3); staying on 16 (not just versus a 10 but versus a 7 -- many idiots are more likely to stay vs. a 7). There are others but they are close calls anyway (16 vs. 10, 12 vs. 3, doubling 11 vs. 10, etc.). Many people also never split 6's, 4's, or 2's.
     
  8. ChefJJ

    ChefJJ Well-Known Member

    I'd have to say standing on stiff hands (usually 14-16) vs. 7-A.
     
  9. dangeroso

    dangeroso Well-Known Member


    I'm fairly new to casinos so my perspective may be a little off, but I saw this happen fairly frequently on 2 consecutive occasions at the MGM Grand in Detroit.
     
  10. shadroch

    shadroch Well-Known Member

    The biggest mistake I see,but not the most common,is the "all-in bet",where someone gets frustrated and after losing half their bankroll chucks it alkl in in an attempt to break even.Its amazing how often this produces a hand that requires a split,a double down or results in a dealer BJ.
    Standing on A/7 might be the most common,but I rarely notice how players play their hands. I notice their bets much more.
     
  11. moo321

    moo321 Well-Known Member

    But this is when we jump in and offer to double it for them. Or split those aces.
     
  12. Frankie

    Frankie Well-Known Member

    Oh well, that explains A LOT.
     
  13. dangeroso

    dangeroso Well-Known Member

    Lol. It was a business trip. I live in Dallas.
     
  14. Mr. T

    Mr. T Well-Known Member

    Next must be standing 16 vs 7. It is not even a close call.
     
  15. nuvi

    nuvi Active Member

    Top Ten Common Mistakes by Beginning Blackjack Players

    Here's my personal take on beginner blackjack errors:

    Top Ten Errors Made By Beginner Blackjack Players

    10. Not hitting with 12 when the dealer shows a 2 or 3
    9. Not hitting with soft 18 against a 9, Ten, or Ace and not doubling against a 3, 4, 5 or 6
    8. Not doubling a 10 or 11 when the dealer shows nine or less
    7. Not doubling a 9 when the dealer shows a 3, 4, 5, or 6
    6. Not doubling soft 13 through soft 18 hands when the dealer shows a 5 or 6
    5. Not splitting 2s, 3s, 7s, 8s when the dealer shows a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, or 7
    4. Not splitting 9s when the dealer shows a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, or 9
    3. Doubling for less
    2. Taking insurance (when the count does not justify it)
    1. Splitting tens

    Doubling and splitting errors are often the most costly mistakes for a blackjack player because both decisions involve increasing the size of the original wager.

    I think it would be interesting to analyze not only which errors are most common, but which errors are most costly. In other words, what is the frequency of the error * [EV(correct decision) - EV(incorrect decision)]?

    nuvi
    http://www.hitorsplit.com
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2008
  16. EasyRhino

    EasyRhino Well-Known Member

    nuvi, just out of curiosity, are those rankings your personal opinion, or actual data from your site?
     
  17. nuvi

    nuvi Active Member

    :)

    just my personal opinion...(i edited my post to make that clear)
     
  18. shadroch

    shadroch Well-Known Member

    Its been done. I forget where,but its out there. Perhaps in The Blackjack Zone?
     
  19. Mr. T

    Mr. T Well-Known Member

    I think I can top you list

    Where I play just about everybody take even money for BJ.
    The wizard of odds say the house has a 7% advantage on this play.
     
  20. Kasi

    Kasi Well-Known Member

    Not just interesting but perhaps even necessary if you are a CC wanting to make some camo plays designed to make you look like an idiot. It wouldn't be hard to pick 4 or 5 plays you could misplay every single time and it still wouldn't cost you a hill of beans, say a nickel for every $100 bet, but at the same time would have every BS player at the table convinced you're a ploppy.

    Might be a nickel well-spent if it buys you longevity.

    Of the ones you mention A,7 vs A would cost you almost nothing. 2nd would be A,2 vs 5 also costing almost nothing.
     

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