Most Common Mistake?
- Thread starter dangeroso
- Start date
SecurityRisk
Well-Known Member
How about double any soft hand vs. any "bust" card. I see people double A3 vs. 3 all the time. Although they would never double A7.
jack.jackson
Well-Known Member
By far the most common. Standing on A7 vs 9 or X
Where one earth are you playing that you see this mistake so commonly? I almost never see it American casinos, though I saw it often in Asia and Oceania when playing there.dangeroso said:
Most misplayed hands are (1) Soft 18 (almost never doubled or hit); (2) over-doubling of soft hands (e.g., doubling Soft 13 vs. 3); staying on 16 (not just versus a 10 but versus a 7 -- many idiots are more likely to stay vs. a 7). There are others but they are close calls anyway (16 vs. 10, 12 vs. 3, doubling 11 vs. 10, etc.). Many people also never split 6's, 4's, or 2's.
The biggest mistake I see,but not the most common,is the "all-in bet",where someone gets frustrated and after losing half their bankroll chucks it alkl in in an attempt to break even.Its amazing how often this produces a hand that requires a split,a double down or results in a dealer BJ.
Standing on A/7 might be the most common,but I rarely notice how players play their hands. I notice their bets much more.
Standing on A/7 might be the most common,but I rarely notice how players play their hands. I notice their bets much more.
Top Ten Common Mistakes by Beginning Blackjack Players
Here's my personal take on beginner blackjack errors:
Top Ten Errors Made By Beginner Blackjack Players
10. Not hitting with 12 when the dealer shows a 2 or 3
9. Not hitting with soft 18 against a 9, Ten, or Ace and not doubling against a 3, 4, 5 or 6
8. Not doubling a 10 or 11 when the dealer shows nine or less
7. Not doubling a 9 when the dealer shows a 3, 4, 5, or 6
6. Not doubling soft 13 through soft 18 hands when the dealer shows a 5 or 6
5. Not splitting 2s, 3s, 7s, 8s when the dealer shows a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, or 7
4. Not splitting 9s when the dealer shows a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, or 9
3. Doubling for less
2. Taking insurance (when the count does not justify it)
1. Splitting tens
Doubling and splitting errors are often the most costly mistakes for a blackjack player because both decisions involve increasing the size of the original wager.
I think it would be interesting to analyze not only which errors are most common, but which errors are most costly. In other words, what is the frequency of the error * [EV(correct decision) - EV(incorrect decision)]?
nuvi
http://www.hitorsplit.com
Here's my personal take on beginner blackjack errors:
Top Ten Errors Made By Beginner Blackjack Players
10. Not hitting with 12 when the dealer shows a 2 or 3
9. Not hitting with soft 18 against a 9, Ten, or Ace and not doubling against a 3, 4, 5 or 6
8. Not doubling a 10 or 11 when the dealer shows nine or less
7. Not doubling a 9 when the dealer shows a 3, 4, 5, or 6
6. Not doubling soft 13 through soft 18 hands when the dealer shows a 5 or 6
5. Not splitting 2s, 3s, 7s, 8s when the dealer shows a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, or 7
4. Not splitting 9s when the dealer shows a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, or 9
3. Doubling for less
2. Taking insurance (when the count does not justify it)
1. Splitting tens
Doubling and splitting errors are often the most costly mistakes for a blackjack player because both decisions involve increasing the size of the original wager.
I think it would be interesting to analyze not only which errors are most common, but which errors are most costly. In other words, what is the frequency of the error * [EV(correct decision) - EV(incorrect decision)]?
nuvi
http://www.hitorsplit.com
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Not just interesting but perhaps even necessary if you are a CC wanting to make some camo plays designed to make you look like an idiot. It wouldn't be hard to pick 4 or 5 plays you could misplay every single time and it still wouldn't cost you a hill of beans, say a nickel for every $100 bet, but at the same time would have every BS player at the table convinced you're a ploppy.nuvi said:
Might be a nickel well-spent if it buys you longevity.
Of the ones you mention A,7 vs A would cost you almost nothing. 2nd would be A,2 vs 5 also costing almost nothing.