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Dealer Stands on Soft 17; Double any card; Double after split Ok; Later Surrender; Ofter insurance on dealer Ace; 8 Decks; penetration 75%; I can stay out , counting to enter the game at any time; Tables from 5 to 500; 10 to 1.000; 25 to 3.000; 100 to 10.000;
Your advantage is going to heavily depend on your bet spread, and the bet ramp. Two recommendations: CVData software, to accurately sim any game and counting system, or the book Blackjack Attack for a ton of pre-figured stats on many games.
If they’re giving you $2000 to show up, you should certainly take that, unless it means playing at substantially higher stakes than usual, or for longer hours. Which table? What betting? Those questions are going to depend on your edge and how willing you are to play with an advantage for these long periods. See my other reply for advice on software or books to answer those questions.
You can leave a winner every time if you just go and watch the free entertainment or Cheer on a friend. Not playing is a win just like getting a push isn’t a bad feeling
Another option which might be nice for the next version: the ability to re-play the same shoe (i.e., same cards come out again). I sometimes wish I could re-play a shoe with a different betting strategy just to see how it would come out, be nice to be able to re-play the same shoe again (I’d be fine with resetting my chip stack to what I had at the beginning of the shoe when re-playing too).
Hello. I am a big fan of surrendering but lately I’ve been thinking… if I have 16 against a dealer 10 and my expectation to lose is 53.7% then. .. if I’m being 100 a hand and I do this 3 times I essentially list $150. Now if I hit and win 1 out of 3 hands (33.3%) I will have $200… so I am up $50 compared to surrendering ($150). Where is my thought process flawed? Please help. Thank you
There is nothing wrong with your logic. If you can win 1 out of 3 hands, you should not surrender. The breakeven point is 1 in 4 hands. At that point, you would lose the same amount whether you surrendered all 4 hands or played them all out going 1 and 3. For more, see my article on Blackjack Surrender.
Hi I am using Knockout counting system with a mild success. In that book, there is a chart for basic strategy that is a little bit different than what I see everywhere else. In KO, for a pair of 2 or 3 against the dealers 2 or 3, the decision is to HIT, But I know that in almost all charts it is advised to split. what should I do here especially if I am playing win no-hole-card rule?
The difference is whether or not you are allowed to double after split. If yes, you should split 2s and 3s against a dealer 2 or 3. If no, then you should hit these hands instead. To get a specific chart for your exact game, see our Blackjack Basic Strategy Engine, and click Adjust the Rules.
Just wondered what your thoughts were on the following:
Say you are playing 6 deck Blackjack and card counting. Your betting spread is £10 to £60, and the minimum is £10. Over a few hands, the true count steady rises to 6 or 7, at which point you start betting £60. Then, in one hand, the count drops to 0, but you win the hand.
Are you meant to reduce your bet from £60 to £10? If so, doesn’t that look a little suspicious?
In a 6 deck game using that small a spread, you really need every edge you can get whether it looks suspicious or not. Drop to the minimum immediately in that case. If you were spreading more aggressively and at higher amounts, you might consider being more discreet. But for your specific question, you can’t afford the cover cost.
I’ve started playing at several casinos in my area and they all have ‘Rewards memberships’. It seems to me I do not want to join them as that would make it easier for them to track my play. On the other hand every time I sit down to play they ask if I am a member and my answer of no may make me stand out as a possible counter. What do you think? Thanks in advance Steve
You forget the “eye in the sky” and the back of the house staff have the statistics. They don’t care what you say, they care that you’re defying the mathematical models and winning more regularly than you should and placing larger bets when you should. And as you say, moving to a new table when you should. They’re not stupid they set up the models so they can make money.
I’m not sure of the specific spot where I discouraged play at less than 75% penetration, but it really depends on the other rules. In six and eight deck games, it’s tough to get much of an edge at less than 75% penetration, and most players would consider that the borderline between games worth playing and not worth playing. In double-deck on the other hand, 75% is a great game. In fact, I’ve played lots of 50-60% penetration double deck over the years.
Ken,
I found the following game:
Dealer Stands on Soft 17;
Double any card;
Double after split Ok;
Later Surrender;
Ofter insurance on dealer Ace;
8 Decks;
penetration 75%;
I can stay out , counting to enter the game at any time;
Tables from 5 to 500; 10 to 1.000; 25 to 3.000; 100 to 10.000;
How to calculate my advantage as HI LO counter?
Your advantage is going to heavily depend on your bet spread, and the bet ramp. Two recommendations: CVData software, to accurately sim any game and counting system, or the book Blackjack Attack for a ton of pre-figured stats on many games.
Ken,
Will improve the question.
I have 20k and the casino still me the 10% commission on the deposit , plus expenses , since I play a minimum of 24 hours with media $ 200 bets .
Which table I sit ?
That betting should I do?
Should I worry about the commission ?
If they’re giving you $2000 to show up, you should certainly take that, unless it means playing at substantially higher stakes than usual, or for longer hours.
Which table? What betting? Those questions are going to depend on your edge and how willing you are to play with an advantage for these long periods. See my other reply for advice on software or books to answer those questions.
Can you recommend software for a MAC computer for Blackjack card counting?
Not really. The last time this subject came up on the forum, it ended up being mostly a discussion of how to run Windows software on the Mac.
https://www.blackjackinfo.com/knowledge-base/blackjack-card-counting/blackjack-software-for-mac/
I’m not sure why there has never been a good blackjack alternative native to the Mac.
You can leave a winner every time if you just go and watch the free entertainment or Cheer on a friend. Not playing is a win just like getting a push isn’t a bad feeling
Another option which might be nice for the next version: the ability to re-play the same shoe (i.e., same cards come out again). I sometimes wish I could re-play a shoe with a different betting strategy just to see how it would come out, be nice to be able to re-play the same shoe again (I’d be fine with resetting my chip stack to what I had at the beginning of the shoe when re-playing too).
Hello. I am a big fan of surrendering but lately I’ve been thinking… if I have 16 against a dealer 10 and my expectation to lose is 53.7% then. .. if I’m being 100 a hand and I do this 3 times I essentially list $150. Now if I hit and win 1 out of 3 hands (33.3%) I will have $200… so I am up $50 compared to surrendering ($150). Where is my thought process flawed? Please help.
Thank you
There is nothing wrong with your logic. If you can win 1 out of 3 hands, you should not surrender. The breakeven point is 1 in 4 hands. At that point, you would lose the same amount whether you surrendered all 4 hands or played them all out going 1 and 3. For more, see my article on Blackjack Surrender.
Hi
I am using Knockout counting system with a mild success.
In that book, there is a chart for basic strategy that is a little bit different than what I see everywhere else.
In KO, for a pair of 2 or 3 against the dealers 2 or 3, the decision is to HIT,
But I know that in almost all charts it is advised to split. what should I do here especially if I am playing win no-hole-card rule?
The difference is whether or not you are allowed to double after split. If yes, you should split 2s and 3s against a dealer 2 or 3. If no, then you should hit these hands instead. To get a specific chart for your exact game, see our Blackjack Basic Strategy Engine, and click Adjust the Rules.
Hey Ken, hey all,
Just wondered what your thoughts were on the following:
Say you are playing 6 deck Blackjack and card counting. Your betting spread is £10 to £60, and the minimum is £10. Over a few hands, the true count steady rises to 6 or 7, at which point you start betting £60. Then, in one hand, the count drops to 0, but you win the hand.
Are you meant to reduce your bet from £60 to £10? If so, doesn’t that look a little suspicious?
Just wondered what your thoughts were.
Cheers,
Mike
In a 6 deck game using that small a spread, you really need every edge you can get whether it looks suspicious or not. Drop to the minimum immediately in that case. If you were spreading more aggressively and at higher amounts, you might consider being more discreet. But for your specific question, you can’t afford the cover cost.
I’ve started playing at several casinos in my area and they all have ‘Rewards memberships’. It seems to me I do not want to join them as that would make it easier for them to track my play. On the other hand every time I sit down to play they ask if I am a member and my answer of no may make me stand out as a possible counter. What do you think?
Thanks in advance
Steve
Oy vey, Greg! Talk about LUCKY!
You forget the “eye in the sky” and the back of the house staff have the statistics. They don’t care what you say, they care that you’re defying the mathematical models and winning more regularly than you should and placing larger bets when you should. And as you say, moving to a new table when you should. They’re not stupid they set up the models so they can make money.
As long as the live games are dealt to a decent depth, the same methods are applicable.
And in Online Live Casinos? How does it work?
I am not ready to go to a real casino.
I’m not sure of the specific spot where I discouraged play at less than 75% penetration, but it really depends on the other rules. In six and eight deck games, it’s tough to get much of an edge at less than 75% penetration, and most players would consider that the borderline between games worth playing and not worth playing. In double-deck on the other hand, 75% is a great game. In fact, I’ve played lots of 50-60% penetration double deck over the years.