November 11, 2017 Rob said: (Posted to: The Most Common Myth in Blackjack) Ken, Your senario has an equal amount of bust cards and “make” cards. But that isn’t always the case. if the dealer has a 16 there are more bust cards than there are make cards in a neutral shoe. Because of this, third base has a higher likelihood of taking a card that would have busted the dealer. And, once that happens the dealer’s odds of getting a bust card go down. Happy to hear if I am missing something here.